Hi,
I am a game developer from Oz who has been trolling around here for a while, trying to get up to speed on current military tech. One day we want to do a game 'China Wars' the story based on the PLA running rampant through SE Asia much as the Japanese Imperial Army did during WWII. In the story the US would take a big hit trying to defend Taiwan and after losing a few carriers, they basically withdraw from the western pacific, leaving their ex allies, all alone. It's in the unthinkable category for Oz defence planners, in fact I bet there is no plan for defence of Oz without US help.
Of course, if the US lost a carrier or two they WOULD just pack up and go home...
The US wouldn't retaliate with B-2, B-1B, B-52, their massive SSBN and SSN fleets, their own enormous ballistic missile fleet (which everyone conveniently ignores in the froth and bubble over China's various ballistic missile programs) their enormous surface combatant force, the USMC and so on...
It's very easy to ignore the sheer scale of the US military, but for exercise purposes let's just throw a few numbers of operational vessels out there.
Number of USN aircraft carriers -
10.
Number of USN air capable amphibious warfare ships -
9.
Number of USN ballistic missile submarines -
18 (4 converted to mass Tactical Tomahawk cruise missile launchers, capable of carrying up to
154 Tomahawk missiles per boat.)
Number of attack submarines -
55.
Number of cruisers -
22.
Number of Destroyers -
62.
Numbers of tactical fighter/EW aircraft -
1268. (409 USN Hornets in-service, 475 USN Super Hornet / Growlers in-service, 56 USN/USMC EA-6B Prowler, 229 USMC Hornets and 99 USMC AV-8 Harrier II).
Planned future fleet of USN/USMC -
1313. (Consisting of 340 F-35C fighters, 515 F/A-18E/F Super Hornet fighters, 118 EA-18G Growlers and 340 F-35B fighters.)
Not even considering the US Army, US Air Force, Missile Defence Agency, Strategic Air Command and the Air National Guard, that is an insane amount of combat power, just to pack up and go home, should they suffer the loss of a carrier or 2...