So with all thats happening in the world.. Mr Marles and Albanese sitting on their thumbs with regards to procuring missile and drone defence. WHY are we not speaking with the ukros to assist in establishing and improving anti drone tech. Why are we not setting up a Patriot and nasams, production line.
Absolutely ridiculous. We are working at a snails pace.
I do feel similarly, but I trust (perhaps somewhat blindly) that there is work going on behind the scenes.
I think a key principle is that, at the moment, we only have the capacity and capability for a few targeted missile production lines. We need to focus where we get biggest impact, and at the moment that is offensive missiles (NSM/JSM, PrSM, GMLRS). I would view that we need to mature these lines before considering further missile types.
While we have some good quality missile steering, vectoring and telemetry component manufacure, we need to develop the payload, rocket motor and seeker units to be able to look at broader missile production. Hopefully this capability should arise from the above lines.
I do however think we should invest in a Shahed drone derivitive as a nice high-low mix with the above more advanced missiles. I can't believe these seem to still be effective in Ukraine and the middle east. They would suit our environment with 1000km range and we would get about 30,000 of them for circa $1B. And my local lawn mower shop could make them (almost).
For defence missiles, I'm wondering if in the short to medium term we partner with Japan for ESSM/AMRAAM-ER and AIM120 missiles. They already have hot lines for these, and we could invest in expansion of their facilities (aka our AUKUS foriegn investments) and support with component manufacture.
They also have an SM2 line and want to expand it to include an SM6. I would have thought we can link in with them in a similar manner.
I doubt that Patriot will ever be available to Australia. I can't see LM getting missile production to anything like what is required globally within at least a decade. Same with THAAD, same with arrow. Leaves us up the proverbial creek without a paddle.
I'm thinking our only hope for a shore based balistic missile system is SM6. We are at least getting some SM6s in the near (ish) future and already have expertise. We should receive something north of 500 of these (my very rough estimate for $7B, accounting for more SM2s than SM6s), which would be enough for a small number of Typon batteries in addition to the Hobarts and Hunters. Enough for key asset protection in WA and NT, and something that could be expanded over time. Not ideal for a mobile detachment, but good for a stationary requirement.
Besides the missiles, I understand the holdup with Typhon launchers is the radar. The new LTAMDS Ghost Eye is in low production and will be in high demand for legacy system as well as new. Perhaps we could instead invest in integrating Typon with our CEAOPS radar for a shorter lead time. Seems like a good use of our local capability.