The CEO of TKMS came in to give an interview with the CBC and the result was......interesting to say the least.
I think it is definitely an interesting strategy to come onto a major Canadian news outlet in the current political landscape and be unwilling to provide even a vague jobs figure tied to your bid, it comes off as TKMS being unprepared or unwilling to back their proposal publicly. This sort of social media strategy has proven effective for Hanwha and especially Saab was of late, and only serves to undermine the Germans. Sitting back and continuing to answer with "our proposal has been sent to Government but we will not share it with the public" does not reflect well on your transparency and trustworthiness as a major partner. With that being said as always these jobs estimates are just that and even then, they are always blown up and very charitable (look at Saab's recent Gripen in Canada nonsense). That doesn't change the PR issues that come with zipping your lips and refusing to engage on such a public stage. Doubly so when such a poor attitude is taken, being dismissive and coming off as smug in the interview itself.
TKMS's CEO did clarify that the German delivery date seems to be pushed up somewhat, now promising a pair of subs by 2032 compared to the prior claim of only a single sub by said date. Worryingly though, it seems he also attached a caveat to that statement where the Canadian Govt will need to have talks with Norway and Germany to get these submarines out of the ongoing production run. Germany has already had to give up submarines out of their original order to Norway when they entered the program, now they seemingly want Canada to fight its way in as well and start playing musical chairs to earn hulls on a reasonable timeline? The timeline and production line is already becoming worryingly clogged, with Germany being forced to purchase and retrofit another entire shipyard to build additional submarines just to keep the process going eventually. It seems exceptionally unlikely that either Germany or Norway will accept further delays to an already hindered program, while Hanwha has reiterated their previous stance that they will provide Canada with one submarine by 2032 and another trio by 2035.
This would allow the Victoria class to be retired in 2035, freeing up effort, funding and personnel to transition over to the new vessels. The Korean timeline does seem somewhat fast so there is definitely some concern to be had with their truthfulness however, they don't seem to be juggling multiple customers and facing chronic yard space shortages like their German counterparts.
With the talk about a split fleet gone and a likely contract awarding by the Summer, things are looking up for the CPSP program. It's a shame TKMS came off looking so poor from this interview, I think they have a great product but I am seriously concerned about their delivery timeline and related stipulations.