Yep too many unknowns at this stage.But is AUKUS a trilateral security pact between the three nations or is it a commercial agreement for the US and UK to equally and equitably flog their respective Defence wares to Australia ?
The purpose of AUKUS is as a security pact for the Indo Pacific region, part of that, among other announcements when it was "launched" so to speak was the keystone piece of Australia obtaining the keys to the nuclear submarine club. And yep got no doubt lots has happened behind the scenes that we will never know and both the US and UK will expect their own fair share in the TOT to Australia.
But it must be remembered that the overall owner of the tech we are talking about is the US, the UK would not and can not give us anything without express US permission under ITARS and the US-UK MDA. Before any of this can happen there must be US Congressional approval to do so, and while I don't see that being an issue with the Biden admin and the current favourable state of the US Congress, plenty of powerful members in the US will be looking for their pound of flesh out of this for their support. The UK holds a little less in this equation.
Having said that, as stated by the Government, we have a 12-18 month process to work through what we will do and how we will do it Funny thing is a lot of this talk is about what boat, from who and where it will be built, and the biggest issue we have is who will crew it !!
I will put up again a paper that highlights some of the issues we will face in standing up and getting a SSN capability up and running in an Australian context
This paper draws on the author’s experience as a submarine operator in the Royal Australian Navy, including the leader of the Howard Government’s recovery program for the Collins Class submarines. The author has accessed experienced operators and engineers from the US, UK and French Navies to...www.aspi.org.au
Sorry John, not all specifically at you, just trying to inject some reality into the fantasy. All good to throw out different ideas, but lets at least keep them in some actual form of what is actually possible
Just my two cents
The Brits are in the "Club" for a reason. They have something to offer and will want something in return.
The same for the US.
On some levels I'd like it to work, but on most I find this chapter most concerning.
Plan C.................no idea.
The whole Collins replacement has been a debacle for over a decade.
Looks like we are investing a lot on a maritime Maginot Line.
I think the public are entitled to some more answers before the 18 Month " sort out bit "