The Bunker Group
The third carrier is still under construction so there are only two carriers at present. Producing a CV in 2-3 years is pretty demanding. If the 4th carrier is to be a CVN, it and any follow on builds will require a longer build period. If a Taiwan invasion happens, world reaction to it may or may not result in a serious military response but there will be massive economic consequences for China and significant problems for Europe, Japan, SK, and the FEYES. SE Asia will have some decisions to make wrt China should stuff hit the fan.Chinese shipyards should be able to build a carrier in 2 to 3 years. They have 7 more to go. So 14 years should be doable. While Japan and US might not like the outcome of the battle, it is doubtful they will declare war on China, considering they do not have diplomatic relation with Taiwan and the fact they have a lot to lose economically. Chinese invasion of Taiwan is something they always expect considering Taiwan refuses to relinquish its claim on mainland China and Mongolia and therefore they are always a threat to mainland China.