F-35 First Flight Comments...

B.Smitty

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
The F-22 is incapable of conducting the most basic of missions required of strike aircraft. There is more to being one than just dropping a couple JDAMS. The Raptor can't even conduct SEAD, ELINT or Naval Strike... the F-22s limited range of ordinace and their inability to use surplus stores of older ordinance make them a luxery we can ill afford. The purchase has been limited to 183 because the utilitarian value of the F-22 in an extended conflict is limited. We need an aircraft that extends commonanlity and servicabilty among all branches of military aviation. We need an aircraft that can use the full range of inventory. We need an aircraft that can be sold to our allies that doesn't compromise our national security. This is not the F-22...
ALR-94's true capabilities are obviously classified, but how hard would it be to add a precision emitter location function (if it doesn't already have one)? My guess is not very. And you don't need to carry HARM to do SEAD.

What ELINT functionality could not be added to the Raptor in a block upgrade? An EO/IR suite was in the works at one time for the F-22.

What Naval Strike functionality?

Harpoon could be carried externally. JASSM-SR will be carried internally. Datalinked SDB/JDAM will be able to hit moving targets.

What surplus ordinance do you want to use? Virtually the entire inventory could be carried externally - especially if the stealthy pods pan out.

I personally don't think the F-22 could totally replace the holes left if the F-35 were to be canceled Obviously it can't fly off carriers. Obviously you can't buy it in the same numbers.

But, for the USAF, you could buy 5-700 fully ISR/SEAD capable F-22s, press forward on a capable, but vastly cheaper UCAV, and still have money left over for the future long range strike system, additional low density-high demand systems like tankers and Global Hawks, and upgrades to existing aircraft.
 

Big-E

Banned Member
The F-22s internal weapon bays are the aircraft's biggest limitations. Forcing us to design and reconfigure weapons for an aircraft that it wasn't designed for is a waste of resources and manpower. It also limits the capabilties of weapons that could go into the more adaptable JSF bays. Any mention of the F-22 carrying weapons externally makes it an overpriced target.
 

Grand Danois

Entertainer
Huh? Aren't SDB and JDAM two of the F-35's primary munitions as well?

And even if a capable IADS can shoot down SDB/JDAM, let them! I'll trade $20-100k bombs for multi-million dollar S-300/S-400 missiles any day.
Yes they are. But they won't be countered bu expensive S-300/s-400's, but by Tor M1's with missiles doing point defense for the GBAD, costing the same as an SDB. Bring the game of attrition on!

SDB is highly radar reflective? It may not be specifically designed to be stealthy, but it's a tiny, relatively clean munition. That should give it a modest RCS, at worst, especially head-on.
Well, the RCS of the SDB/JDAM is certainly in the same ballpark if not greater than the F-35. This means if this is not an issue for the munitions, then it won't be for the F-35 either. Sea Wolf shot down artillery shells 20 years ago - and they're clean... Those wings on the SDB looks like pretty decent radar reflectors.

And see Kurt's post above concerning F-22 v F-35 standoff ranges using these munitions.

Plus, there is a mini-JASSM in the works that will give BOTH the F-22 and F-35 an internal carriage, stealthy, 200nm missile.
Why do you need an F-22 to do Immelmanns whilst launching its weapons if you're are going to use standoff munitions anyway? Use the half-the-price, less maintenance F-35 for that. Stand off = why use F-22? You can toss 200 TLAM from an SSGN for 100M $ or half the cost of an F-22.

And the F-35 doesn't corner the market on netcentricity. That's a function of avionics and comm architecture. Any capability there could easily be added to a Blk 30+ Raptor. It just requires cash.
ok.

There are only two advantages the F-35 has that aren't easily retrofitted to the F-22 - basing mode and 2000lb munitions (on the A and C).
There are a couple more:
  • Cost
  • Cost
  • Cost
  • ...

The basing mode advantage is rapidly dwindling with every USN/USMC cut in B & C production.
How many are required?

And 2000lb, penetrative munitions could be compensated for with improved 1000lb class weapons, fielding of those stealthy underwing munition pods for the F-22, A-45C/A-47 class UCAVs, hypersonic missiles, etc.
Agree. So why use the F-22 for that?
 

B.Smitty

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Primary to a certain mission... you can't task the F-22 to any of the other missions where the F-35s other munition capabilities become primary.
Sure you can. The F-22 has 4 heavyweight pylons (5000lb class?).

In the current blocks, they aren't wired or cleared to carry and drop munitions, but there's nothing fundamentally stopping later blocks from doing so.

Does that compromise signature? Sure. But it can be done. And once again, there are those stealthy munition pods under development.


S-300 and S-400s will not be tasked to shoot JDAMS... that goes to the TOR which is hella cheaper.

It's a glide bomb... TOR will tear it appart
Hella cheaper, but still a LOT more expensive than a JDAM/SDB.

Besides, what is an F-35 going to use in this situation that'll be so much more effective? IIRC, it can't carry HARM internally.




The SDB is the only thing that gives it a stand off range... it only contains 50lbs of explosives ... what do you want it to do???
50lbs of explosives with 4-6 feet of reinforced concrete penetration and 8 per sortie.

There's also JASSM-SR in the works, plus wing kits for 1000lb JDAMs.

And JASSM-ER/JSOW/WCMD-ER could be carried externally.



You are incorrect... any modifications to the Raptor's capabilities could easily lead to increased RCS. You can't just cram antennas, cameras, and data-links into it and not interfere with performance. That is way JSF is getting a thorough overhaul before it hits production.
"Could" lead to an increased RCS, but doesn't mean it will.


Full use of ordinance, servicability/commanality, superior C4ISR contribution, ELINT, SEAD, CAS, and not to mention my absolute favorite.... DEW... LASERS!
The F-22 could carry virtually anything short of MOP/MOAB externally. A block upgraded F-22 has more going for it as a C4ISR/ELINT platform owing to it's superior survivability and 50+kft/M1.5+ capability.

SEAD can be done.

There's nothing stopping an F-22 from providing CAS.

DEWs - who knows. They're still too far out, IMHO for them to be the decisionmaker.


No it's not... they will still go on every carrier and LPD in the fleet. What more do you want?
How many? 10 per carrier / 8 per LHD/A (LPDs aren't gonna carry F-35s)? Is that going to provide more than a silver-bullet force?

Maybe CVNs would be be better off with A-47 and JASSM-shooting F-18E/Fs.
 

Big-E

Banned Member
How many? 10 per carrier / 8 per LHD/A (LPDs aren't gonna carry F-35s)? Is that going to provide more than a silver-bullet force?

Maybe CVNs would be be better off with A-47 and JASSM-shooting F-18E/Fs.

20 per carrier is the plan... the simple fact is that if a CVW requires a full load-out of JSFs it is fully capable of doing so. Even if you surge every available carrier you will still have enough JSFs to fill every VFA squadron.
 

Kurt Plummer

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #66
Big-E,
>>
They will rotate with JSF therefore cutting flight time of the F-22. Having 1,600 JSF and 183 F-22 is far better than 1,000 F-22s. You forget the F-22 is a pathetic strike aircraft.
>>

No. Because there's a really good chance nobody is going to have 1,000+ new airframes of /any/ type, post Iraq. Not if they run 100 million plus. 500 F/A-18F (ACS as combat controller) and F-22 (VLO as D1/R1 IADS assassin) is possible however; simply because the lines are up and particularly in the case of the Super Horror, large scale production is already 'halfway there'.

>>
Not to mention you still have to give the Navy and Marines OUR aircraft!
>>

The problem here is that you have one already. Indeed, an F/A-18F with HSARM and Meteor is _better than_ an F-35 for the primary role of 'standoff escort' to VLO assets. While the latter is itself a seeming oxymoron; the fact remains that USAF F-15s have shot /thru/ F-117 formations in a BVR permissive role. And the APG-79 and advanced (big) missiles, carriage at low drag penalty in some numbers, makes the Bugliest more mission capable (repeated salvos of multiple weapons types) than the F-35 with it's all-of-two-missiles-today-and-always LO restrictor.

>>
The F-22 is incapable of conducting the most basic of missions required of strike aircraft. There is more to being one than just dropping a couple JDAMS.
>>

Actually, the rule of thumb is 18 bombs for one target in the 1970s. 6 bombs for 1 target in the 1980s, 2 bombs for one target (SALH) in the 1990s and 2 bombs for two _aimpoints_ (IAM) in the 2000s. 2010 will see that expand to 'as many aimpoints in as many target matrixes as your LO will let you reach' (though any airframe with the 1760 ability to interface with a BRU-61 smart rack will have at least 50nm worth of standoff).
What the F-22 specifically brings to the game is the ability to '3 here 2 over 35nm over there and 3 more 100nm further thataway' THREE TIMES A DAY. From an 800nm radius.
Such is something that the F-35 cannot do. And never will.
Indeed, against 'hard' targets the Raptor can also do at least a modicum of this from 18-25nm with the GBU-32 whereas the F-35s subsonic-all-the-way approach to GBU-31 delivery means a 10-15nm delivery approach that is firmly within an IADS overlap on Buk or HAWK type systems, never mind S-300 and PAMS.
At which point you have to ask: WHAT EXACTLY does the F-35 /do/ that justifies putting a 112 million dollar airframe at risk instead of a 1 million dollar AGM-158? Of which an F/A-18F can carry FOUR.

>>
The Raptor can't even conduct SEAD, ELINT
>>

Though it was 'not a highlight' of the initial Block-3.0 software tape, ALR-94 integration is gradually improving to the point where the F-22 is now considered a 'collection node' for exactly these kinds of missions. Better munitions (MALD and Increment 2 SDB plus A2G AMRAAM modes) will do the rest.
The problem is that the weasel role is relative to the onset rate of the subsonic jets you escort. First In, Last Out, gains real nail-biter meaning when you are on the wrong side of a tanker. While the ferret mission is 'all about' the _endurance_ to capture that one signal that may be put out for five minutes during a 15hr mission.

>>
or Naval Strike...
>>

True enough, if your concept of this is AShM centric to a Harpoon. But the AMSTE JDAM has proven able to hit naval targets using both direct and E-8 driven targeting-
http://www.strategypage.com/military_photos/200412181.aspx
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3738/is_200503/ai_n13638364
While the use of any large-body weapon without folding fins requires external carriage on both the F-22 and the F-35 and is already endemic to the F/A-18.
My question then being the extent to which 'stealth on the ingress' is both itself compromised by lower wavelength naval radars (the Type 42 track on the F-117 comes to mind). And the level to which the sudden release of unpowered weapons can actually saturate a modern naval targets medium/point defenses relative to a truly supersonic launch of say 'inertial mode AMRAAM'.
X8 increment 2 GBU-39 as a skeet shoot vs. 6 AMRAAM boring in at Mach 3+, I will take the AMRAAM. _IF_ they can be 2-way LINK driven to impact an ISAR mapped image of the ships radar directors and/or major missile magazines. Sinking the hull then becomes a matter of functional convenience.

>>
The F-22s limited range of ordnace and their inability to use surplus stores of older ordinance make them a luxury we can ill afford.
>>

This is a cost-of-PE argument not an anti-Raptor or pro-JSF one.
Nonetheless, the U.S. has already switched to an 'all precision engagement' model for it's fleets so /standardizing/ on a single range of GBU-31/32/38/39 munitions makes sense because, in the long run, they will be cheaper than say the GBU-12 which has an 80 hour MTBO teardown interval. Or the Maverick which is not even in production.
Indeed, the F/A-18E/F does not even use (is not cleared as a weapon carrier) conical fin Mk.82 anymore (they are not going to sea so the Bug-1 is 'in the same boat').

>>
The purchase has been limited to 183 because the utilitarian value of the F-22 in an extended conflict is limited. We need an aircraft that extends commonality and serviceability among all branches of military aviation.
>>

But the JSF is not ONE airplane. It is three. And 'commonality' is only as valuable as it is numerically dense in any given basing mode.
There will be 10 F-35 on deck in the USN. Simply because they are only set to purchase 170 of the most expensive variant.
There will be 6-8 F-35 ondeck with the Marines. Simply because the V-22 and CH-53K are so huge that you cannot put any more aboard an LHA/D.
Assuming post-Iraq doesn't completely deflate the budget, I'm guessing that there will be 500-750 USAF models but only so long as there is a 10,000ft runway to base-in with.

>>
We need an aircraft that can use the full range of inventory. We need an aircraft that can be sold to our allies that doesn't compromise our national security. This is not the F-22...
>>

You're absolutely right and it's the F/A-18F. As a precision bomber, the Lot II Hornet is a superb aircraft, much closer to the F-15E (and in some ways superior to it) than the F-35 will ever be.
The problem here is not that of having the F-35 square off against the F-22. It's a failure to define what you earlier called the 'extended conflict'.
Because winning that model of (Iraq/AfG) airwar means flying hours and hours and hours and hours of NTISR or Non Traditional Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconaissance. A task which pilots in the theater /despise/ because it's looking through a soda straw at empty roads and vacant stretches of desert around petroleum industry sites.
In an extended SSC there will likely be ZERO air defense threat. And the cost per flying hour (if the F-35 matches the F-16 at 5,000 dollars) will preclude large numbers of manned airframes simply because the rotation needed to fly 200 sorties per day will be /tremendously/ draining to both mission logistics (every airframe in a deployed squadron will have to be capable of 6-8hr missions to keep the pilots fresh) and ops account budgets.
OTOH, if you can build an airframe which is 'somewhere between' the 1,200 dollar per flight hour MQ-1 Predator. And the 2,500 dollar per flight hour JAS-39. And has no pilot limiter inherent to flying a 10-12-15hr mission window. You can fly a 60 sortie day and _still be right there_ to cover any urgently developing ground scenario.
If that jet is further 'non fighter classed' so that systems investments and structural hardening are restricted to perhaps a 25 million dollar cost threshold. You have a system which is fully amenable to being 'compared with' the JSF.
Both in terms of common fleet-as-basing-mode type. And in numbered manufacture of same.
Indeed, it's perfect counter to the old saw: "So (in)expensive that the USAF, USN and Marines will have to agree to use it on alternating days!" methodology.
Whereby a carrier cruise that 'went hot' could suddenly be augmented by nominally 1-2 squadrons of _land based_ jets. While (putting jets over the beach for more than 10hrs) still maintaining a relatively low-impact cyclic air ops effect on the deck crews.
THAT is what true 21st century airpower is about. Getting the FULL use of the ENTIRE inventory. Rather than splitting them by convenience of basing mode as 'service uniform preference'.
It is a fill-force BOMBER that you're after. Not a fighter. And certainly not a 'Joint Strike Fighter'.
We're already halfway there with the AETC. Which just need to continue the effort into the combat branches.
KPl.
 

Big-E

Banned Member
JSF procurement is not set in stone... it all depends on how well it does. The number purchased determines indivudual cost. As General Davis likes to say of Congress "You can easily make JSF an unaffordable airplane.”
 

Occum

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Jsf Numbers

JSF procurement is not set in stone... it all depends on how well it does. The number purchased determines indivudual cost. As General Davis likes to say of Congress "You can easily make JSF an unaffordable airplane.”
Pity the marketeers have turned the aircraft into a fat, dumpy little pigeon. Project office data shows the CTOL variant still to be some 1,900 lbs over the IOC target empty weight of 27,100 lbs. IIRC, the F-15C with the -220 engines has an empty weight of 28,600 lbs - a much bigger, faster and more agile machine.

Even with its higher fuel fraction, the JSF will still be a 'tanker dependent', particularly in the strike and air defence missions, where re-heat usage will be the norm with resulting high SFCs due to the aircraft's drag-iness and less than optimal MIL Power acceleration in the mid to high transonic region.

The numbers being discussed for the replacement tanker fleet are between 200 to 250. The normal off load fleet ratio (ie. receivers to tankers) is 4 to 1, including non combat coded and maintenance pipeline aircraft for both fleets.

Does this not suggest that the number of JSF aircraft would, at best, be around 800 vice the currently stated 1,753 units, remembering that the USAF tanker replacement fleet will have to support the rest of the USAF fleet plus supplement the USMC and US Navy fleets during joint operations?

What will a USAF buy capped at 800 do to the overall program?


;)
 

rjmaz1

New Member
Why do you need an F-22 to do Immelmanns whilst launching its weapons if you're are going to use standoff munitions anyway? Use the half-the-price, less maintenance F-35 for that. Stand off = why use F-22? You can toss 200 TLAM from an SSGN for 100M $ or half the cost of an F-22.
Poor line of thinking.

The F-22 can throw a cheap conventional weapon like a SDB a similar distance that of a standoff missile launched at subsonic speeds at 10,000ft.

Say a SDB costs $200,000 and a Standoff missile costs $1,000,000.

During its combat life lets say the F-22 launched 200 SDB's to destroy its targets while the JSF launched 200 Standoff missiles to destroy those same targets.

Now lets say the F-22 costs 200 million and the JSF costs 100 million so its "half the cost of the F-22"

F-22 = 200 million + 200 SDB = 240 million dollars
JSF = 100 million + 200 Standoff missiles = 300 million dollars

Where is the JSF half the price?

This doesn't even take into account that the F-22 can fly twice as many sorties and it can carry more than double the amount of SDB's that a JSF can carry standoff missiles.

So the F-22 is multiple times as effecient and actually cheaper in the long run.
 

Big-E

Banned Member
You seriously overestimate the capabilty of SDBs...

1) Max range is only achieved at a VERY high altitude making the F-22 more susceptable to detection.

2) The range of any glide-bomb is determined by weather. The max range of SDB is calculated with weather variables being in it's favor... this is rarely the case. If SDB heads into the trade winds it's range is cut in half.

3) The payload of SDB is only 50lbs... it may penetrate deep but if the structure is reinforced it will only destroy 1 room.

4) The descent of a small glide-bomb like SDB is only 130knts or so... it will fall to this speed relativaly quickly as it has little mass. This makes time to target almost an eternity.

5) It can't loiter or be re-programmed
 
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rjmaz1

New Member
Lets just say both our posts make absolutely no sense...
Actually mine is correct yours is not.

What i said is 100% logical.

If you disagree with me then you must think that it is cheaper just to launch cruise missiles for all targets instead of cheap weapons from expensive aircraft. At the end of the day the expensive aircraft returns to base.

With the cruise missile option you can attack an enemy with a thosuand 10 million dollar missiles from 1000 miles away. Thats 10 billion bucks that just got blown up when it hit the targets

Or using cheap weapons you can use 5 billion dollars worth of aircraft and drop 1000 quarter million dollar bombs. Thats only 250 million worth of weapons that got blown up. The aircraft live to fight again, where as the cruise missile option nothing is left.

So 250 million versus, 10,000 million dollars. Even taking into account operating costs of the aircraft the cheaper weapons is more cost effective.
 

Grand Danois

Entertainer
Actually mine is correct yours is not.

What i said is 100% logical.

If you disagree with me then you must think that it is cheaper just to launch cruise missiles for all targets instead of cheap weapons from expensive aircraft. At the end of the day the expensive aircraft returns to base.

With the cruise missile option you can attack an enemy with a thosuand 10 million dollar missiles from 1000 miles away. Thats 10 billion bucks that just got blown up when it hit the targets

Or using cheap weapons you can use 5 billion dollars worth of aircraft and drop 1000 quarter million dollar bombs. Thats only 250 million worth of weapons that got blown up. The aircraft live to fight again, where as the cruise missile option nothing is left.

So 250 million versus, 10,000 million dollars. Even taking into account operating costs of the aircraft the cheaper weapons is more cost effective.
Some prices, top of my head.

JDAM - 20 k $
SDB - 62 k $
JASSM - 100-200 k $ (Lot 5 is ~110 k $)
TLAM - 450 k $

Now, the fast, groundhugging, endgame maneuvering, stealthy, (and to some extent, self-designating) cruise missiles with electronic countermeasures will have a far greater chance of hitting a TOR M1 defended target like a S-300 launcher than an SDB.

1 (~M80$) F-35A + 2 JASSM is cheaper, better than 1 (M175$) F-22A with 8 SDB because:

  • Target is at least equally likely to get hit.
  • More effective warhead on target, 1000 lb vs 50 lb of explosives.
  • Delivery platform is cheaper.
  • Munitions are cheaper.
  • 200 NM less flight distance.
  • Standoff, no (less) risk to delivery platform.

Appropiate munitions for appropriate targets.
 
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Ths

Banned Member
Actually my guess is that the air-ground capability is due to a requirement as an escort of the B-2 going in for ICBM's in their siloes. A fighter sweep.

In all other context's it will be air to air. The lack of serious opposition in the last seem to lead to an underappreciation of the role.

As to this seemingly endless debate over cost merits of different combinations and ammocounts let me say this:

The numbers required are determined from a set of scenarios and how many conflicts there will be simultaneously. All those people in Pentagon are busy keeping a library of scenarios, plans and what have you - current.

These different scenarios then filter down into unit requirements and staffing. And time schedules. Then Maintainence and all other mundane stuff.

It is an endless circle. It is like the window cleaner I worked for (briefly) during college: He lived of a rather large hospital: When he and his men had cleaned all windows it was time to start all over again: That's why staff work is a steady job.

Each element is is both the result and the assumption of all the other elements in the plan. This is why the most important information on a plan is the date!

An example: The Israeli strike on the Egyptian Air Force in the 1967 war was planned into the minutest details: The location of every bomb that was to be loaded on what aircraft was planned, the number and location of each bomb-dolly at a given time was planned. The uncharacteristic thing about that operation was that it ran according to plan.

Thus: I'm not able to say if 183 is the right number of F-22's - that depends on the plans assumptions as to opposition in 10 years time, and , and , and.
The only thing I can say is that:
1. The number is not drawn out of a hat.
2. Tomorrow the number is different.

Maybe a bit off topic; but defining the boarders of the topic.
 

B.Smitty

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Thus: I'm not able to say if 183 is the right number of F-22's - that depends on the plans assumptions as to opposition in 10 years time, and , and , and.
The only thing I can say is that:
1. The number is not drawn out of a hat.
2. Tomorrow the number is different.
The USAF requirement is for 381.

The 183 number came from Rumsfeld.
 

Grand Danois

Entertainer
The USAF requirement is for 381.

The 183 number came from Rumsfeld.
I agree with the USAF requirement of 381. Enough to equip the exp wings and keep some for attrition, training, etc.

I bet the current production of 20 air frames a year will be extended post 183.

Just not a fan of making it a strike fighter.
 

B.Smitty

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro

Grand Danois

Entertainer
I think you're off a bit on the JASSM price. According to this,

http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com...-jassm-missiles-plus-support-and-rd/index.php

We paid $80 million for 70 Lot 5 JASSMs. That's $1.14 million each.

IIRC, the full rate price is supposed to be somewhere in the $4-600k area.
Oh dear, you're right. I used the same numbers. Definitely a brain phart.

Replace 100-200 k $ with 400-600 k $.

However, I will still stick to the substance of the argument. ;)
 
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