Soon production will ramp up to 300 rockets a year ffs.....Local production (assembly?) of GMLRS to commence shortly, they've got this up and running a lot quicker than I anticipated.
Australia kicks off local GMLRS production
Australia will begin manufacturing Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) missiles this month following the opening of a new production facility at Port Wakefield in South Australia.www.defenceconnect.com.au
I assume you feel 300 is insufficient?
How much should we pay now for GMLRS rockets that we can’t currently use or store? I can imagine Army’s training requirements as with every other corps, will involve minimal actual live firing of anything except reduced range practice rockets. If the Regiment fires more than a couple of dozen or so live GMLRS rockets per year, it will be the best funded Regiment we’ve ever had…
How much EO storage capacity should we then build? What sort of warstock would you deem sufficient?
How much are you willing to spend on ordnance we only “might“ need one day and what gives way to allow this to be funded?
How much surge capacity does this facility have? Can it expand it all?
Just whinging about quantities doesn’t add much to the debate...
I'm with old faithful. 300 does seem low. I would have thought there is excess demand for these from the increasing number of global HiMARS, M270 and the European GMARS launchers (everybody seems to have one now) to establish a larger production run.
I get that the real prize is PrSM manufacture, however the GMLRS are kind of the potatoes (of a meat and potatoes metaphore). GMLRS is supposed to be a cheap, mass produced missile. I kind of think we should have a large shed of them. Right next to the large shed full of 155mm shells.
Perhaps more important though is the depth of the supply chain behind this factory. If I remember the earlier plan was to commence with assembly of overseas made parts only. I assume this is what has been announced and that probably is the reason for the low production (this would still be the crawl phase of the crawl, walk, run strategy)
If we use the 300 annual orders to then stand up local sub manufacturing, such as the rocket motor etc, then OK. These suppliers probably need time to get ready so could not manage large orders.
I still have not seen any public information on rocket motor manufacture. Have I missed something on that?
Apart from the logistical issues and the cost issues of building munitions we don’t need and can’t presently use (in any sort of cost effective manner) I am quite certain L-M has not licenced us to export GMLRS in competition to their own production.
Global demand may well be high and in time we may well see orders placed, but no company starts building huge production numbers from scratch and neither will GWEO.
It’s no different to the artillery round issue. We were going to produce 10,000 rounds a year. Everyone b*tched and moaned about how few that is, based off Ukrainian wartime usage rates of artillery, whilst completely ignoring the fact that we are not at war, that we are not being provided wartime levels of funding and resourcing and Ukraine itself didn’t even manufacture 10,000 rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition before the war started either.
Our artillery production is also being scaled to increase capacity to 100,000 rounds per year if it becomes necessary and likewise I imagine GMLRS production will have an ability to scale up as well.
But no-one starts out like that and suggestions we should are futile. The need isn’t there, the funding isn’t there, the resourcing isn’t there and two months ago we weren’t capable of producing a single GMLRS rocket. Going from that to a sustained 300 missiles a year is a big achievement, but it is a starting point, not likely the end point.
Issues such as the lack of domestic rocket motor production as you point out mean that we aren’t really producing “anything” ourselves - yet. Arguing we should be scaling up before we can even do things like that are pointless.
Much better doing what we are doing, which is building out the capability to produce a sustainable production line, continue to produce the capability to build all the elements of the chosen systems and develop the longer term ability to scale up when we need to.
I see your pount AD, but 300 per year, eventually, does not mean 300 in the 1st year of production. I would have thought, that , given the world situation atm, and with our total lack of ability to really last any conflict with a near peer enemy for more than a few days in reality, and considering we will soon have @90 himars units, a capacity to store several thousand rounds would be reasonable, as well as the ability to produce or aquire several thousand rounds in short time would be required.
Always a difficult question as to how much stock of any munition type one should keep.
Be that a bullet of a high end missile and everything in between.
Active conflict highlights the staggering demand of meeting supply of munitions.
Re GMLRS, this is very early days.
I’m confident it will evolve as capability is rolled out.
That said, I do take the point of the 300 number.
If we’re to fill all 42 of the first tranche of M142’s we have change from the proposed 300 of 48 rockets.
Hmmmmmmm!
I think most would agree it’s not the final number or aspiration going forward.
Cheers S
True, additionally however local production is not our only method of acquisition, by my count, we have already (or are) procuring over 1500x GMLRS / ER-GMLRS rounds directly from L-M as part of our existing capability, based on FMS announcements so far.
No, 300x rounds may not arrive in the first year additionally 300x rounds of what? GMLRS? ER-GMLRS? Unitary warhead variants, alternate warhead variants? From a steady production POV, 30 a month or so seems a reasonable target for a production capability that is literally starting from scratch. At that rate and given the inventory we have acquired (and may acquire more still) we will hit that “several thousand rounds” inventory within several years of production even at the current peace time rate. Based on what we are doing with domestic artillery ammunition production capability I have no doubt increased production capacity is being “baked into” this program and would be activated quickly if needed. Even adding a night shift etc would hurry things up, if necessary. It seems as if the plan is to get us to the point where we can eventually produce up to 4000x rounds per year.
GWEO plans under the microscope - Australian Defence Magazine
ADM Correspondent Max Blenkin picks apart today’s GWEO announcements, made by Minister for Defence Industry during his address at the National Press Club | Max Blenkin
www.australiandefence.com.au
My point is simply moaning about numbers is useless. Of course if we are at war we will need more of everything, just like Ukraine does. But “everything” takes money, time and resources and investing too much in one thing, takes money, time and resources away from something else.
We all want more but a balance has to be struck. What‘s important now, is shoring up our production capacity so we can go it alone if it
becomes absolutely necessary and be able to ramp up to wartime production numbers as we need to.
Additionally, I’m sure you know, you can’t just plonk advanced missiles or other EO in a warehouse. Dedicated EO magazines, storage and distribution systems are required to support this product and to get them where they need to be.
Now we actually have a (seems to me) fairly comprehensive program to build that with some 11 new (IIRC) EO facilities being created by defence and distributed around the country-side. Again, will take time to roll these out…
Missiles, before the capacity to safely store, maintain, train and distribute is definitely a cart before the horse scenario….
With 90 launchers …we would probably want to give them a chance to live fire a few different rounds per crew… say 4-6 missiles each … per year… it’s not exactly high tempo training.