It seems very possible. China's space program seems much more efficient in terms of time and money. I lost the article that gave the exact monetary figures, but China launched a man into space w/ a fraction of the cost US did (inflation taken into account) and had fewer trials before going. NASA say they need $150 billion to put a man on mars. China say they can do it for $15 billion. Not to mention w/ a communist gov't you can invest as much of the budget money as you want w/o peoples approval.. in a democracy where 60% of Americans dissapprove "wasting" money on doing manned mars mission it could be easier for China to do it.