War between the U.S. and Iran is not inevitable. The danger is that the U.S. - because of actions undertaken by Saudi - might be drawn into conflict because of its ''special'' relationship with Saudi. There is also the danger that certain elements in the U.S. administration might actually welcome such a war in the misguided belief that it will in the long term benefit the U.S. and its allies in the region; namely Saudi and Israel. A U.S/Iran war would also give Israel the ideal pretext to enter Lebanon - with Saudi blessing - to try and do what it failed in 2006 : destroy Hezbollah. ..As such it's hoped that the U.S. will practice realpolitik and think things carefully rather than continuing what it already has a history of : flawed and shortsighted actions that in the long run prove to be extremely detrimental to the region and to U.S. long term national interests.
Agreed. Besides, the US wants to make the Saudi the regional gendarmes just like Iran was before 1978. Recall it got some US arms that even Israel didn't; Zionists there want fulfil the dream of "Greater Israel" from Sinai to Euphrates river. For now, de-facto Saudi-Israel alliance is shaping up. But I doubt the top American decision makers will wise up enough or will be able to avoid getting into another blunder. Past empires were very prone to
shooting themselves in the foot more often than not, & that's what doomed them. I also doubt that Israel as a Jewish state will be sustainable in the next 10-20-30 years. It's an alien entity that will be dealt with by Arabs once they sort out their squabbles. Recall that Greeks, Romans, Byzantines, Turks, Crusaders, Mongols, French, Italians & British all faced revolts in, & were thrown out of the ME & N. Africa in the last 2 + millennia.
Just like how Russia was not happy for NATO to expand to its borders; China will not want U.S. troops on its border. Anything Trump does with regards to North Korea will have to - despite all his rhetoric and beating of war drums - take into account China.
- as well as
Russia, which
has 23 miles total of common border with NK.
Putin sends troops to Russia's border with North Korea Donald Trump warns North Korea of 'determined response' US worries Russia could step up North Korea support to fill China void North Korea sitting on $7 trillion worth of minerals
From their history, the N. Koreans themselves remember the
1st unsuccessful American invasion in 1871, as well as
British,
French, &
Japanese, together with their
2 earlier invasions (1592–98), besides the annexation in 1910-45, so in their mind the continuing US presence in SK & its threats are an affront.
The bottom line is the US doesn't want to surrender its "leading role" in E. Asian affairs by letting SK & Japan go nuclear & rising China become the master of the seas around it.
