You are wrong, Ukraine has not lost and is not losing. Russia is losing. After more than 10 years of war and more than 1,2million causalties, around 80% of Ukraine is still in the hands of Ukraine not Russia. The US stopped providing military equipment to Ukraine one year ago, and still Ukraine is fighting, supported by Europe, Canada, Japan, and Australia. European ammo production has steadily been ramping up over the last 4 years, and will reach new records during 2026. Arms and ammo manufacturing in Ukraine has increased massively. End of last year EU provided 90billion EUR support for Ukraine, for 2026/2027. Russian casualties in 2025 have been extremely high, especially the last 5 months. Now, with more efficient sanctions against the Russian shadow fleet but also Russian refineries, the Russian economy is going to be hit real hard in 2026, especially the provinces. By 2027 or early 2028 Moscow will have two choices: either stop this unprovoked, illegal and war crime infested invasion, or risk that Russia will start to disintegrate. Very few predicted USS collapse before it suddenly happened. I predict Russia's collapse within 2 years, unless Putin stop this madness. (I may be wrong of course, Russia may collapse already in 2026).
Russia is losing the war, not Ukraine.
Russia's losses in Ukraine
Russia's provinces going bust
Like with attacking ships... Both sides are playing the game.
-more than 1. 2million causalties,
...Confirmed casualties? By whom? What are the confirmed Ukrainian casualties? ?y whom?
"Britain's defense ministry said in an intelligence update Wednesday that Russia has likely suffered over 1.2 million battlefield casualties since launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine nearly four years ago."
Up to 25,000 Russian soldiers are being killed every month, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said this week.
www.businessinsider.com
..."Likely" is not any kind of "confirmation". BTW, Oleksandr Syrskyi was giving the same number, he got it from the UK or the other way around?
"Former speaker of Ukraine’s parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, deputy Dmitry Razumkov, acknowledged that the country has lost over 500,000 military personnel during the conflict with the same number wounded.
Speaking at a parliamentary session, he cited data from the Rada’s Committee on National Security, Defense and Intelligence indicating more than 500,000 killed and more than 500,000 wounded Ukrainian soldiers. According to the deputy, the "activities of an irresponsible, unprofessional and corrupt government" led to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians."
"According to TASS estimates, Ukrainian army losses since February 24, 2022, amount to nearly 1.5 million people killed and wounded."
The official number of killed Ukrainian soldiers has not been disclosed, but deputies and military personnel regularly complain about a shortage of personnel
tass.com
...That's another "Likely".
-around 80% of Ukraine is still in the hands of Ukraine
Obviously, Russia tried a coup de main, not “conquest”.
-European ammo production has steadily been ramping up over the last 4 years
And in Russia.
-Arms and ammo manufacturing in Ukraine has increased massively.
And in Russia.
-End of last year EU provided 90billion EUR support for Ukraine
"The European Commission has proposed a €90 billion loan to provide Ukraine with financial support in 2026 and 2027, alongside changes to existing EU budget rules needed to underpin the plan."
Ukraine’s €90bn EU loan plan heads for approval. Russian assets may fund repayments, highlighting high-stakes legal and financial manoeuvres.
www.brusselstimes.com
...It did not "provide", it did "promise".
"The UK on Friday announced new emergency energy support of £20m ($27m) for Ukraine after Zelenskyy declared a state of emergency following sustained attacks on the country’s power infrastructure. He acted as emergency crews worked to restore heating and electricity in Kyiv and other cities after last week’s attacks by Russia knocked out supplies during sub-zero temperatures. The British support includes funding aimed at keeping electricity and heating on in homes, hospitals and schools across winter."
Response crews at work following strikes in Ukraine’s second city as Britain commits £20m after Zelenskyy declares energy emergency. What we know on day 1,423
www.theguardian.com
...And more is needed already, now.
Zelenskyy meanwhile conceded problems with Ukrainian air defences at a critical moment in the war. Some systems supplied to Ukraine by western allies had run out of ammunition amid a wave of Russian attacks that have devastated his country’s energy infrastructure. “Until this morning we had several systems without missiles. Today I can say this openly because today I have those missiles … We received a substantial package in the morning.” He urged both European allies and the US to increase deliveries.
The Czech Republic is set to provide Ukraine shortly with “medium combat planes which are highly effective in fighting drones”. (The Czech army has 24 one- and two-seater L-159 jets.)
The light L-159 fighter is likely the plane promised by president of Czech Republic, Petr Pavel, to Volodymyr Zelenskyy. What we know on day 1,424
www.theguardian.com
...As you can see, more and now. Ukraine seems to be living from one day to next. "Shortly", 24 aircraft, not 240.
-Russian casualties in 2025 have been extremely high
Confirmed? What about Ukrainians casualties?
-more efficient sanctions against the Russian shadow fleet but also Russian refineries
Just, how efficient?
-the Russian economy is going to be hit real hard in 2026
Really? How hard exactly, is Russia going to go back to the stone age? Without heating? What about the Ukrainian economy?
-By 2027 or early 2028 Moscow... I predict Russia's collapse within 2 years... Russia may collapse already in 2026.
You cannot see the contradiction there? Ukraine has been hit hard and is still in the fight. Russia
will be hit "hard"...
And will stop fighting? Anyway, we won't have to wait that long to confirm your wisdom.
-Ukrainians are extremely highly motivated to fight
Specially the deserters, 2,200,000 highly motivated Ukrainians.
-Ukraine will be exposed to another genocide.
You seem to be the only person to say that.
-When the will to fight is strong enough, the invader will ultimately lose.
Has to be an invader? Civil wars/revolutions don't count? That is the definition of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
-it's when you look at specific regions it becomes clear that there are serious issues in some regions
Unlike in Ukraine?
Russia
has to fail, but you don't consider that Ukraine may fail
first. I see the difficulties, I cannot see the doom, even when Ukraine is at the receiving end.