The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

Feanor · Apr 6, 2023

vikingatespam said:
Or could be deliberate mis-information ?

According to one line:

"One of the slides said 16,000 to 17,500 Russian soldiers had been killed while Ukraine had suffered as many as 71,500 troop deaths."

This doesnt sound like information the Pentagon has used before, and I seriously doubt 71K UKR KIA.

The document is allegedly doctored. The original allegedly had 35k-43k Russian KIAs and 16-17k KIA Ukrainian. But of course none of this can be confirmed.

Moscow calling

Ответ на загадку от Жака Фреско админа: Фото 1 - соотношение потерь РФ и Укратны из оригинального "слива"; Фото 2 - версия, разгоняемая "сеточкой". "Перемалываем хохлов" вовсю, так сказать... KIA - это не корейская марка авто, а "200-е".

t.me

Larry_L · Apr 7, 2023

Volodymyr Yatsenko , A Ukrainian banker has started a contest to jump start innovation in new drones. He proposes to donate 20,000,000 hryvnias to whoever lands a drone in red square on May 9th. Even if nobody is successful it ought to tie up some of the air defense systems. One of the drone systems he has invested in will fly the route on May 9th, but will not be competing.

Quote: “I hope that this amount will be fairly divided between the manufacturer and the military operators who will successfully complete the task, and will be directed to the improvement of the UAV,” Volodymyr Yatsenko said.

Competition for UAVs to land on Red Square announced in Ukraine

Ukraine has announced a competition for a drone that will be able to land on Red Square in Moscow on May 9

mil.in.ua

T.C.P · Apr 7, 2023

Ukraine’s secret attempt to retake the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant

In the dead of night last October a Ukrainian special forces team boarded a 40ft armoured patrol boat, taking up positions at its three heavy machineguns and Mk

www.thetimes.co.uk

In the dead of night last October a Ukrainian special forces team boarded a 40ft armoured patrol boat, taking up positions at its three heavy machineguns and Mk19 automatic grenade launcher. They were among nearly 600 elite troops scattered along the north bank of the Dnipro River, which carves through Zaporizhzhia region. The teams boarded more than 30 vessels bristling with weapons, formidable gifts from friends in the West.

Fascinating. The article is pay walled, the second comment from the linkbelow (sort by new) has the full text-

https://www.reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/comments/12eixke

Feanor · Apr 8, 2023

T.C.P said:
Ukraine’s secret attempt to retake the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant

In the dead of night last October a Ukrainian special forces team boarded a 40ft armoured patrol boat, taking up positions at its three heavy machineguns and Mk

www.thetimes.co.uk

In the dead of night last October a Ukrainian special forces team boarded a 40ft armoured patrol boat, taking up positions at its three heavy machineguns and Mk19 automatic grenade launcher. They were among nearly 600 elite troops scattered along the north bank of the Dnipro River, which carves through Zaporizhzhia region. The teams boarded more than 30 vessels bristling with weapons, formidable gifts from friends in the West.

Fascinating. The article is pay walled, the second comment from the linkbelow (sort by new) has the full text-

https://www.reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/comments/12eixke

Russia reported this fight earlier though in much less detail, claiming to have fought off some landed forces and sunk some boats on the river. I wonder how many of Russia's claims being dismissed now will turn out to be true later.

vikingatespam · Apr 8, 2023

Feanor said:
Russia reported this fight earlier though in much less detail, claiming to have fought off some landed forces and sunk some boats on the river. I wonder how many of Russia's claims being dismissed now will turn out to be true later.

I have a difficult time believing that anyone could think that 600 light infantry could take the plant, from across the Dnepr, and hold it. We already saw the RU propaganda video on this subject that turned out to be false.

Feanor · Apr 8, 2023

vikingatespam said:
I have a difficult time believing that anyone could think that 600 light infantry could take the plant, from across the Dnepr, and hold it. We already saw the RU propaganda video on this subject that turned out to be false.

Sorry, what Russian propaganda video? I recall a video of some barge burning on the Dnepr and hard to distinguish fires against something.

T.C.P · Apr 8, 2023

Feanor said:
Russia reported this fight earlier though in much less detail, claiming to have fought off some landed forces and sunk some boats on the river. I wonder how many of Russia's claims being dismissed now will turn out to be true later.

Probably quite a few, but people not believing their claims, is in lot of parts their own fault. Classic case of boy who cried the wolf. I try to follow both pro UKR and pro rus media channels. And while both have a lot of BS, the BS levels in Russian channels are considerably more outlandish.

There was a paper in the past, I forgot to post it here, where researchers sued seismic activity to track explosions in Ukraine and they found more evidence of explosions then the ones reported by Ukraine.

Exposing military attacks in the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict using seismic array data

Seismometers are generally used by the research community to study local or distant earthquakes, but seismograms also contain critical observations from regional1,2 and global explosions3, which can be used to better understand conflicts and identify potential breaches of in...

www.researchsquare.com

Sadly the data is only from the time period of Feb to Nov 2022. I really want this study to be revisited from the date of feb 2023 onwards, thats when UKR state media started reporting those 85-90% interception rates. This would be a great way of showing us how truly effective the rates of interception really were.

Hopefullly a lot will be cleared up when the fog of war dissappears. If we are all alive and healthy in 2028, maybe we will be discussing it on this very forum.

vikingatespam · Apr 8, 2023

Feanor said:
Sorry, what Russian propaganda video? I recall a video of some barge burning on the Dnepr and hard to distinguish fires against something.

This was a number of months ago - a video showing UKR bodies on the beach near the plant, supposedly all killed during a raid. There were 2 versions of the video. One that cuts out after showing the bodies, and one longer one where all the "bodies" get up. I will have to look for it.

vikingatespam · Apr 9, 2023

Here is an interesting bit from ISW:

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... ril-8-2023

Former Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Security Minister and current Vostok Battalion commander Alexander Khodakovsky claims:

- the Russian command has decided to stop the daily issue of ammunition to areas of the front where there are no active offensive operations almost entirely.
- Khodakovsky noted that the artillery shortage on the frontline results in part from preparations for a Ukrainian counteroffensive.

(ISW interpretation) Khodakovsky’s statement indicates that the Russian command must prioritize artillery ammunition supplies rigorously due to shortages.......High demand for shells indicates that Russian forces are still heavily relying on artillery to offset key shortcomings in combat capability, including poor Russian targeting skills, insufficient ground assault capabilities, and inadequate availability of airpower in Ukraine

Feanor · Apr 10, 2023

Russia has started striking bridges, so far in north-eastern Ukraine. A bridge in Chernigov area was struck, not destroyed, and then finished off with another strike. They also hit a bridge near Svatovo. It's possible this is part of preparations for the Ukrainian offensive, and the intent is to complicate logistics efforts by destroying bridges. It remains to be seen whether this becomes a trend or these remain one-off curiosities. Up until now Russia generally only struck bridges with tactical significance. However these are in Ukraine's rear, and the follow-up strike suggests that this was purposeful. In principle Ukraine is very vulnerable with bridges across the Dnepr being logical targets. Systematically destroying them would cause major problems. But it requires a lot more then a Kh-29 strike, as they are massive structures. These smaller bridges can be easily replaced with bridgelayers, quite a few of which Ukraine is set to receive.

Colonelcassad

Военкор Поддубный сообщает о поражении еще одного моста истребителем Су-34 ВКС РФ. На сей раз ударили по мосту через реку Жеребец на Сватовском направлении. В последние дни наметилась тенденция с ударами по мостам противника в прифронтовой полосе.

t.me

Colonelcassad

Военкор Поддубный сообщает, что нанесен повторный удар по мосту в Черниговской области, который вчера был поражен истребителем Су-34 ВКС РФ. Так как после первого удара обвалилась лишь часть одного из пролетов, сегодня последовала добавка в тоже место. Таки да, удары по мостам это новая тенденция.

t.me

Colonelcassad

Повреждение моста в Черниговской области после удара истребителя Су-34 ВКС РФ. Обрушилась часть одного из пролетов. До полного вывода моста из строя тут конечно желателен еще один удар, который приведет к полному обрушению пролета и затруднит его ремонт.

t.me

Colonelcassad

Поражение моста планирующей авиабомбой в Черниговской области. Отработал Су-34. К вопросу о работе по мостам - авиабомбы в этом вопросе куда как эффективнее ракет. https://t.me/epoddubny/15447

t.me

Vivendi · Apr 10, 2023

Updated estimates from Norwegian military intelligence: 200,000 Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded in Ukraine. In addition they estimate that 75-80% of the 200th motorized brigade, from Murmansk, have been killed or wounded. This latter estimate I believe they have also provided previously.

E-tjenesten: Russland har mistet 200.000 soldater i Ukraina

Russland har tapt om lag 200.000 soldater i de 13 månedene siden felttoget i Ukraina startet, ifølge anslag fra Etterretningstjenesten. Den russiske eliteavdelingen som skulle forsvare grensen mot Norge, er blant de som har blødd mest.

www.vg.no

Feanor · Apr 11, 2023

Update. Feb. 22nd-23rd

Kherson-Nikolaev-Odessa.

Battle damage from Russian strikes in Kherson.

Moscow calling

Кроме Ирана (хрен бы с ним и с его режимом аятолл) обстрелу этой ночью подвергся российский (по Конституции РФ) город Херсон. Прилетело по жилому дому и по больнице...

t.me

Russian 205th MRBde ATGM fires against alleged Ukrainian LP/OPs.

Colonelcassad

Херсонская область 205-я отдельная мотострелковая казачья бригада 49-й общевойсковой армии Южного военного округа работает по наблюдательным пунктам противника. ВСУ выставляет на верхних этажах зданий наблюдательные посты, которые вскрывают наш позиции, корректируют работу вражеской артиллерии...

t.me

Russian T-90M, Kherson region.

Colonelcassad

Работа экипажа танка Т-90 "Прорыв" на Херсонском направлении. Солдаты отмечают, что уже готовы встретиться с западными танками. Плюс Т-90 — в автомате заряжания. Пока в американском Abrams будут заряжать снаряд, российский танк успеет три раза выстрелить по противнику. Видео: @izvestia

t.me

Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk.

Russian 810th MarBde in Zaporozhye. Note they have apparently received T-90Ms.

The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

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