The status of NZ's scooters has been discussed within the body of this post already.tomahawk6 said:What ever happened to NZ's fighters ? Good thing for the RAAF.
The status of NZ's scooters has been discussed within the body of this post already.tomahawk6 said:What ever happened to NZ's fighters ? Good thing for the RAAF.
I think NZ is not very good at choosing their defence assets. Instead of LAV's they could have purchased FSV's for the same price. Instead of LOV's they could have purchased IMV's. IMHO I think the purchase of 8 NH90's for $771 million is an absolute rip off. The RNZAF could have purchased 30 helis that could hold 7 people for the same price and have a rocket pod fitted on each.robsta83 said:They are wanting both, it was some of the requirments for LAV III and the Pinzgauer, to allow weapons stations to be fitted, so dependant on cost you should see some vehicle mounts, espescially for the SAS vehicles but you wont here about that I would predict, NZ is just about the most secretive about their SAS.
Yegods, manpack a 120mm mortar? No, stick with the 81mm for lugging around on your back.Aussie Digger said:I was actually envisaging a 120mm mortar system that could be vehicle mounted (like the M113 - M125A1 81mm mortar carrier) or dismounted from the vehicle and used in a "manpack" situation if the terrain was too difficult for vehicles to operate in.
If the A400 can land on the same strip as a Herc, then a C27 is redundant-ish, as it does have designed for refuelling capability,Whiskyjack said:IMO NZ needs to be able to deploy troops fast and can not rely on commercial means, there fore as discussed a LO/LO ship or second MRV, AAV/EFVs to allow rapid movement of troops from ship to shore and inland. Greater airlift, A400m simply because it will carry more further than a Herc, it also has a refuelling capability if I am not mistaken, with a MPA variant, I guess we will see. As for the something like the C-27J, it all takes up funding and manpower, if the need is shown to exist then fine but IMO it is not likely to happen.
In terms of additional number increases if possible, would it be recommended to return to 4 companies per Batt, plausible considering everything?Whiskyjack said:Another major issue, which Australia has also foreseen, the NZDF will suffer from an inability to put boots on the ground. at the moment the Army consists of 2 battalions with a total of 6 infantry companies (all under strength) and 1 Cav squadron. Even with the current 10 year plan to build up numbers it will only bring these formations up to full strength.
It is a possibility, but not at the cost that the Canadians are going to pay.robsta83 said:Do you think as a replacement for Endeavour when its time would a add on to the Canadian Joint Support ship be out of line? It has everything that good be desired for a improved sea lift and as a provider for a replenishment ship, out of the Question?
Not a bad idea, the main issues revolve around funding and low unemployment, the same as Australia. As with anything it takes time and investment. Another option is to have a researve force of 3-4 company groups (1,000 people) that is at a higher readiness for deployment in the local region where training in the high end capabilities may not be as important.In terms of additional number increases if possible, would it be recommended to return to 4 companies per Batt, plausible considering everything?
From what I can see the first thing they need to get people in the army is raise the salary for the grunts, a NZ$25,000 dollar salary is absolutely terrible I mean a active reservist in Aus can earn just about half that. If they want people get them off the minimum wage.
1) Just quickly, there was a high speed landing craft program developed as an alternative to the EFV called HAVIC (High Speed Assault Vehicle and Interdiction Craft) made by MAPC ( http://www.mapcorp.com)Whiskyjack said:In terms of the 120mm mortar I think it is a good idea, but can I turn the debate around and look at it from this direction. Imagine you are the NZDF senior staff. in September 2006. You have what ever equipment that you have in service, or what has been ordered, you have a limited capital budget (approx NZ$3 billion over the next 10 years), limited personnel resources (NZDF 8,500, compared to 12,000 in 1990) and in the last 10-11 years (after 20 years of very few deployments) your force has:
1. Served in Bosnia, at a mech company level, where a limited armour threat emerged
2. a major operation in East Timor, that had the following situations,
a. a fast build up of troops in Darwin, Aus 2,800nm from Auckland, NZ
b. logistics from Darwin to ET by air and sea.
c. after an initial deployment to the capital of ET the NZDF participated in a coy level lift helo assault/insertion (using 10 ADF Blackhawks) to its area of ops in Suai supported by a Frigate.
d. rest of a battalion group was then landed over the beach.
e. maintained a battalion level deployment for approx 3-4 years.
3. Maintained an SAS deployment to Afghanistan over multiple periods
4. Maintained a 100 person reconstruction force in Afghanistan for the last 2-3 years
5. Had a 100 man engineer deployment to Iraq for 1 year
6. Maintained up to a company level force in the Solomon Islands with helo support
7. Had frigate deployments to the Persian Gulf over the last decade.
8. maintained small contingents in various UN forces all over the world.
let us then look forward at what the NZDF will be expecting over the next decade:
1. Increased instability from East Timor, Papua New Guinea out east into the Pacific Islands
2. Further deployments to the war on terrorism
3. Encroachments onto the EEZ of NZ and the Pacific Islands
4. Potential threats to Sea lanes around the world that NZ depends on for it’s economic well being
Probably a few more I can’t remember.
Where are the gaps?
IMO NZ needs to be able to deploy troops fast and can not rely on commercial means, there fore as discussed a LO/LO ship or second MRV, AAV/EFVs to allow rapid movement of troops from ship to shore and inland. Greater airlift, A400m simply because it will carry more further than a Herc, it also has a refuelling capability if I am not mistaken, with a MPA variant, I guess we will see. As for the something like the C-27J, it all takes up funding and manpower, if the need is shown to exist then fine but IMO it is not likely to happen.
Underpinning the movement of troops in the Region will be the ability to keep the Intel/information flowing to them so MPA/UAVs.
Fire support, IMHO, I would be looking towards a 120mm mortar and NLOS-LS (which can also be fitted to the RNZN’s OPVs and MRVs). The reason for this is that a 155mm option will take up logistics and man power and IMHO is very unlikely to be deployed.
Another major issue, which Australia has also foreseen, the NZDF will suffer from an inability to put boots on the ground. at the moment the Army consists of 2 battalions with a total of 6 infantry companies (all under strength) and 1 Cav squadron. Even with the current 10 year plan to build up numbers it will only bring these formations up to full strength.
The last issue is a surface combatant for the navy. My idea would be to build something like a Absalon and fit it out to the same standard as an upgrades ANZAC (build it in Denmark and fit it out in Australia).
it all comes down to funding, and while there may be an increase it is not going to be much, so it muct be spent on preparing and equipping the NZDF to face the most likely threats to NZs interests and that starts in the home region as far as I am concerned.
This would be a good "poor man's alternative" to the EFV and the ships boats on the MRV. It was basically a 40 knot landing craft.MAPC said:"Landing Craft MAPC participated in an industry team that built and tested a new landing craft for the U.S. Marine Corps MAPC personnel designed the 45-foot aluminum-planing hull and a patent was awarded for the craft. The vessel was designed to carry the LAV-25 with all embarked personnel carried within the armored vehicle. All weapons and sights were fully functional during the assault phase. Although the vessel did not proceed into production due to decisions in the AAAV program, its capabilities are again being considered with the Navy's new focus on littoral warfare."
This sounds good, definitely something that the NZDF should be looking at it.Wooki said:1) Just quickly, there was a high speed landing craft program developed as an alternative to the EFV called HAVIC (High Speed Assault Vehicle and Interdiction Craft) made by MAPC ( http://www.mapcorp.com)
But you can't find it anywhere on the internet now. Here is an exert from a cached page on my desktop.
This would be a good "poor man's alternative" to the EFV and the ships boats on the MRV. It was basically a 40 knot landing craft.
2) If I was the one with the cash I would dump the A400 for the AN70. Cheaper, (70million as opposed to 100million) carries more (35 tonnes as opposed to 30 with the A400) and exists. [What is the price of a C130J-30? 45 to 50 million?]
New Zealand would have to accept responsibility for the build though. Sure you can go with the vendor, saying everything would be OK, but I would seriously look at getting it built indigenously (or outside Russia) with the help of an outfit like IAI who have experience it upgrading Russian aircraft avionics.
But that is me and my "build an industry" bias coming through again. But even with that, it is doable, is a great aircraft and can be done for a song. An opportunity just begging to be taken by a no-nonsense, business oriented Aviation team. i.e. don't let the Australian DMO near it! (Just joking, couldn't resist).
For a modular heavy lift ship, assuming the modules were of reasonable price and effectiveness, I think that would make a great deal of sense. Given the limits NZ places on the NZDF budget, and the limits in terms of personnel, NZ basically needs to follow a strategy where they are able to perform as many different possible missions using the same basic equipment. Given these limits, NZ isn't able to afford separate vessels to act as hospitals, troop transports, aircraft support, etc. With the MRV they have a vessel that can do a bit of each. Now if they could arrange to get a vessel that can be configured to concentrate on certain types of missions to provide a greater capability than the MRV, but be changed quickly to a different role, that would offer the NZDF greater flexibility.Wooki said:2) If I was the one with the cash I would dump the A400 for the AN70. Cheaper, (70million as opposed to 100million) carries more (35 tonnes as opposed to 30 with the A400) and exists. [What is the price of a C130J-30? 45 to 50 million?]
New Zealand would have to accept responsibility for the build though. Sure you can go with the vendor, saying everything would be OK, but I would seriously look at getting it built indigenously (or outside Russia) with the help of an outfit like IAI who have experience it upgrading Russian aircraft avionics.
But that is me and my "build an industry" bias coming through again. But even with that, it is doable, is a great aircraft and can be done for a song. An opportunity just begging to be taken by a no-nonsense, business oriented Aviation team. i.e. don't let the Australian DMO near it! (Just joking, couldn't resist).
3) Further to the LOLO. What ever happened to the old M.V. James Cook which then became the M.V. Anro Melbourne circa 1990?? She was a hybrid LOLO/RORO built in the 70's about 27000 DWtonnes, Max speed of 27 knots , but most importantly was the only merchantman I know of that had a fully anodized hull. That means zero rust and 30 years on she would be worth a look and a refit.
Couldn't find anything, so I figure it must have been scrapped.
Anyway, The LCAC/hatch concept I mentioned before, would be a cheaper alternative to the AAV and EFV, but if you wanted to conduct air operations on the same v/l you would need to go with a 12K to 16000 DWT ship to get the deck space that would be eaten up by the LCAC(s). Using the LCAC as the hatch would be great for maintenance as it would lift it up off the deck. You just have to ensure that she has a rectangular seat on the underside to match the hatch coaming and a hatchless container v/l rating for when it was deployed. IIRC a hovercraft can break about 40 inches of first year ice as well, so it gives you plenty of options patrolling the EEZ around Antarctica. I would stick the AMOS on an LAVIII and stick that on the LCAC or the HIVAC Nothing like maritime patrol in a little tank.
Another concept I spoke of briefly was the heavy lift ship with modular barges for the intended operation. Like the old LASH ships pre containerization. That way you can build a cheap Hospital module, Expeditionary Lift module and even a UAV carrier module and change the ship's mission literally over night. The added benefit is that you can leave the modules were they are needed, and go pick up another one. That amounts to an overall increase in speed of cargo Load on Load off operations. To add insult to injury you could make it big enough to lift the MRV (You know, just in case. but more seriously, then you have a floating drydock that can handle nearly every ship in the Australian and NZ navies).
Does anyone see the cost benefit of that?
As always, ran out of time WJ, sorry.
Cheers
W
Well that is just the thing WJ, the AN70 has been flown and is proven compared with the "plastic parrot" as Tod calls it (thought that was pretty good). And the max load is 47 tons as opposed to 37 of the A400. Actually, from what I read, the AN70 can nearly airdrop as much cargo as a C17 because of the ramp strength.Whiskyjack said:[
The AN70 would be unacceptable to the NZDF, the risk would be too great. As a rule the NZDF buys equipment that the UK, US, Canada and Australia are using, because they know it has been used (eg proven) and that the logistics are secure.
Also the A400M has a 37ton payload according to their website. Price wise the J version is around US$ 75-85m the A400M I expect will be around US$140m. The M will carry 25t from Auckland to Darwin. The J will carry 16t but will have to refuel in Brisbane. Please note everyone that 16 tons will not include a LAVIII! The M also comes plumbed to act as a tanker. Accepting it isn’t flying yet.
It is tempting Wookie, the issues as I see it for the NZDF:Wooki said:Well that is just the thing WJ, the AN70 has been flown and is proven compared with the "plastic parrot" as Tod calls it (thought that was pretty good). And the max load is 47 tons as opposed to 37 of the A400. Actually, from what I read, the AN70 can nearly airdrop as much cargo as a C17 because of the ramp strength.
I am aware of the downsides in taking on a project like that, but I think with the right team you could mitigate that risk to one lower than that of going with the A400. I would look at someone from Boeing Australia as they have an impressive record in turning chicken shite into chicken salad with the F111 and they are expecting a downturn in business. You can either poach their skillsets and import it or actually hire them on and do the project in Oz.
And with regard to risk, the 70 million dollar figure for the AN70 is a throw away number. Its been my experience that the Russians just double what it actually costs when the word "export" is mentioned. So when all is said and done it might actually be cheaper.
New Zealand IIRC has a cheap manufacturing base compared with the rest of the "Western" world.
If you turned out 8 of these for the NZAF and Airbus continued to have problems for just another year (which may well happen), it would create an unfavorable environment for the A400, where a competitor could capture the A400 orders. Most notably Germany, who is already considering the AN70 over the A400.
And remember the A400 has not even been built. You are already ahead of the game, with a flying platform that can be vamped up to make an indigenous aircraft with world beating capability.
Airbus and Boeing are strange people in the risks they have taken with the A380 and the "dreamliner". I can understand a startup doing that, but not multi conglomerates.
Anyway, The situation won't last long and I don't have the cash to pursue it. :
But there is no reason NZ can't, you just need the right people to pull the trigger and finish the A400 off [IIRC, there are quite a few very aggressive NZ businessmen and women, so its not as if you don't have the skillset to pull it off]. As for the C130. It simply can't compete against either the A400 or the An70 and if no one takes up the AN70, the C130 might win the day yet.:rotfl
cheers
W
These are some of the reasons I am somewhat hesitant on going with the An-70. I actually have similar concerns regarding the A400M, particularly given the status of the A380 and the impact that looks to be having on Airbus. Last I had heard, Airbus was no longer expecting to make a profit on A380 sales for some time, and without a significant growth in orders, might end up taking a loss on the aircraft. These things do not bode well for the A400M either in terms of availability to order, or cost. Also, does know if the floor strength of the A400M will equal that of the C-130? I thought I had read in an AW&ST that the A400M will have greater cargo capacity in overall tonnage, but won't be able to carry items of the same density.Whiskyjack said:It is tempting Wookie, the issues as I see it for the NZDF:
1. the Russians/Ukrainians are not secure as far as logistics go
2. Still many unknowns about the AN70
3. how much development money? NZ only need 6-8
4. through life maintenance costs, the Russians have not got a great record here IMO.
5. It would need more than just Australia
6. yes there are the people, but no experience in this sort of enterprise
7. When NZ decides on the C-130 replacement it will be a risk free decision. The NZDF has publicly stated many times it will only go OTS, it reduces risk and means the equipment arrives on time and to spec.