It's a nice missile, however everything I've read says that NASAMS is the official replacement for RBS70. So, I'm not quite sure why Nioa partnered with MBDA on Mistral 3, and why the French Government granted this export, with no evident Australian Government commitment. Have I missed something. This one seems back to front for the normal procurement process.
For the RAN, I think it overlaps with RAM too much, which is the more likely pathway up from Phalanx. I can't see a frigate having both RAM and Mistral 3. And I can't see Mistral 3 being employed on OPVs. Can't even get a 30mm gun on those.
I get that NASAMS is not suitable for small non motorised detachments that operate outside the cover of a battery (probably a substantial part of a deployed force). I can't see what Defence is doing to cover this gap, perhaps Mistral 3 is the solution. I know other countries have incorporated Mistral 3 into gun systems like Skyranger for additional capability and range for mechanised forces. Seems a good concept.
It's still a very expensive system, at from what I have read upwards of $500k per shot. So its not a drone defence. I look at what Ukraine has done to mature interceptor technology, where they have several Shahed style drone killers that are back packable and cost about $1,000 per shot. They combine these with Slinger style machine guns on small vehicles to great effect.
Does Mistral 3 have a place where bigger systems are more capable, and interceptor drones/guns are cheaper.
It’s place is VSHORAD and Army and perhaps the other services most definitely have a capability gap in that role.
At the moment our air defences consist of all arms fire. A canister or vehicle launched, fixed site short ranged air defence system, a RAN destroyer or fighter jets.
We are massively deficient in Counter-UAS. We are completely deficient in VSHORAD. We are completely deficient in ground based medium or long range air defences and we are all but completely deficient in ballistic missile defence capability.
MISTRAL 3 would provide counter-UAS - acknowledged at the more expensive end of the threat spectrum, but there are Group 3 and above drones that require such systems. Guns and EW just don’t cut it at that threat level, per attached.
MISTRAL 3 also addresses the VSHORAD capability gap, vastly cheaper than NASAMS ever could and far more broadly across a theatre than our 6 fire units ever could. By way of comparison, our recent Lightweight command launch unit request for Javelin LWCLU was for 161 systems… A bit more of a comprehensive presence across the battlespace than our 6 fire unit NASAMS will ever manage…
MISTRAL 3 depending on launch systems (SIMBAD-RC etc) offer a lightweight standalone system, that could be employed from a wide variety of RAN or Army craft (a single turret loaded with a pair of missiles weighs 480kg in total) and can be integrated into a combat system or operated as an autonomous launching system, able to be rapidly moved between ships, something that RIM-116 Block 2 (as much as a fan as I am) cannot offer.
Might not a SIMBAD-RC launcher or two look out of place on a 4000t Army Littoral Manoever Vessel - Heavy? I wouldn't have thought so… But is a high end naval defence system out of reach for the intended purpose of that class? Most likely, given Army have so far specified (publicly) nothing more than a pair of remote weapon station mounts to defend these craft…
it also offers a variety of land based applications from a simple ground based launcher to more complex vehicle integrations, offering some substantial base or point defence capabilities.
I can accordingly see why Australian industry are preparing to offer it for any up coming air and missile defence projects we may see under NDS / IIP 26. Local production etc would also fit well within the philosophy of the Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordnance Enterprise. Were such a capability to be sought, I’m sure it won’t only be MISTRAL 3 that will be bidding for it, Army will probably be looking at other systems as well - the Stinger replacement program would be likely, but I could see MISTRAL 3 offering a lot of capability options for the ADF.