John Fedup
The Bunker Group
Here's TWZ take on the F/A XX decision.
Boeing Wins F/A-XX Next Generation Navy Stealth Fighter Contract (Updated)
Boeing Wins F/A-XX Next Generation Navy Stealth Fighter Contract (Updated)
Let's see how this program goes, maybe as smoothly as the KC-46.Hopefully NG contests the decision. Boeing for all 6th gen, probably the same BS as all 5th gen to LM.
It would be my pick. My concerns lie around being too late to get production done in Australia and having a say on potential capabilities. Long range, big payload. Let's hope it has 2 seats for Ghost Bat control as I suspect 1 pilot may not be able to do this as well. Happy to be wrong though...This might be the right fit for the R.A.A.F
Interesting to note it may not include spercruise because of thermal detection ,f-35 pilots may have their own opiions on this
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GCAP: a big fighter designed for Pacific (and Australian) distances | The Strategist
BAE Systems and its Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP) partners pulled off a coup of technology theatre at the Farnborough air show in July, unveiling a new design for their GCAP figher, in full-scale model ...www.aspistrategist.org.au
Seems other single seat aircraft will also be expected to manage their remotes including the f-35,aIt would be my pick. My concerns lie around being too late to get production done in Australia and having a say on potential capabilities. Long range, big payload. Let's hope it has 2 seats for Ghost Bat control as I suspect 1 pilot may not be able to do this as well. Happy to be wrong though...
Given LM’s crap performance on upgrades, the F-35 exports past 2050 are bleak IMHO. The ECU for the F135 engine does nothing for range enhancement, something that would be important for Australia, Canada, and a few other countries post 2050.It is one reason for Singapore to have informal, exploratory talks with the Tempest consortium.
The current strategy seems to be positioning F-35 as the only export option, with future blocks having technology from 6th generation program.
If your using F35’s current issues against it why don’t you hold Boeing by the same standard?Given LM’s crap performance on upgrades, the F-35 exports past 2050 are bleak IMHO. The ECU for the F135 engine does nothing for range enhancement, something that would be important for Australia, Canada, and a few other countries post 2050.
Boeing and LM subcontractors, who is responsible for choosing them? The DoW? The F/A XX award going to Boeing which has the F-47 award is like the F135 award going exclusively to P&W and GE was shown the door with a GFY. Same with the LM award for the F-35. Sole source might seem cost effective from a logistics POV…until stuff happens. As for future alternative fighters, agree, stuff can happen with them as well.If your using F35’s current issues against it why don’t you hold Boeing by the same standard?
As they put in investment ads Past results do not necessarily reflect future outcomes.
I also question this argument as the F35 issues have less on LM and more on the Subcontractors. Why are F35 lacking radars? NG whom makes the radars is still developing the radar’s.
Why are the upgrades to the engines delayed? Because P&W is still doing the R&D for the upgrades.
Farther post 2040 we will likely be talking about an even farther upgrade package which if there are delays again wouldn’t necessarily be on LM. Also nothing says that alternative fighters couldn’t have similar experience.
2050 is a long time into the future and how airpower / CONOPS will evolve, especially with CCA/MUM-T.Given LM’s crap performance on upgrades, the F-35 exports past 2050 are bleak IMHO. The ECU for the F135 engine does nothing for range enhancement, something that would be important for Australia, Canada, and a few other countries post 2050.
F-16 export still ongoing more than 50 years after first production F-16 come out. F-16 now being marketed as Gen 4++ or 4.5, and I can see after 2050, F-35 will also market as Gen 5++ or 5.5.Given LM’s crap performance on upgrades, the F-35 exports past 2050 are bleak IMHO.
The F-16 and its later variants is an affordable and effective platform. The F-35 for many nations is unaffordable. Its cost of operation and readiness rate are disappointing. These drawbacks are somewhat overcome by the F-35’s stealth and situation awareness advantages. Gen 4.5+ together with CCA might be a better solution to than a F-35+ for many airforces.F-16 export still ongoing more than 50 years after first production F-16 come out. F-16 now being marketed as Gen 4++ or 4.5, and I can see after 2050, F-35 will also market as Gen 5++ or 5.5.
Just like now there will be market for Gen 4.5 in the market that already entering Gen 5 for some time. Single engine Gen 5.5 will still attract export customer that want F-16 of the future, when Gen 6 already in operation.
Sweden backed away from GCAP and I do not understand what advanatage a revived FCAS with Spain and Germany would have over GCAP. Sweden seems to be doing fine on its own.![]()
Germany ‘Exploring’ GCAP Entry with UK, Reports Say
While discussions between London and Berlin are in the early stages, internal German government assessments reportedly favor a collaboration with Swedentheaviationist.com
So seems German exploring 2 options:
The 2nd one basically rebuild FCAS without France and put Sweden as replacement.
- Join GCAP with UK, Italy and Japan,
- Work out new project with Spain and Sweden.
Does Germany wishes that Spain will leave the FCAS- program and join them with Sweden to start a third European 6th generation fighterjet?![]()
Germany ‘Exploring’ GCAP Entry with UK, Reports Say
While discussions between London and Berlin are in the early stages, internal German government assessments reportedly favor a collaboration with Swedentheaviationist.com
So seems German exploring 2 options:
The 2nd one basically rebuild FCAS without France and put Sweden as replacement.
- Join GCAP with UK, Italy and Japan,
- Work out new project with Spain and Sweden.
Number 3 for Sweden by itself. Saab already builds most of the Gripen major components except for engines. Joining FCAS is reducing workshare for Sweden with minimal advantage, just my two cents, perhaps I am missing something.We can put it in simpler terms:
- GCAP (UK, ITA, JAP) is open for new participants but the program is already quite advanced. No room for major workshares or anything, unless you pay A LOT.
- DASSAULT will go for their own plane as always. I think in the end they will partner with some minor european partner and a major foreign one (INDIA?)
- GER, SWE, SPA, etc etc will have to figure out what they want to do and they have 3 choices:
1) join an ongoing program
2) buy off-the-shelf (unlikely)
3) make their own
Sweden is not even close to have enough money to develop a 6th gen fighter.Number 3 for Sweden by itself. Saab already builds most of the Gripen major components except for engines. Joining FCAS is reducing workshare for Sweden with minimal advantage, just my two cents, perhaps I am missing something.
