I don't want to add much on how the progress on defense planning for this term, because now it is already reach the most important stage. How to finance the plan procurement.
It is been put in several times in Indonesian threads, that to reach the plan procurement, at least USD 21 bio financing needed. The question so far how to achieve that. The finance people hope this year recovery and slow down in Covid will provide reprive needed to finance several projects (including defense).
Turnout the war have put unexpected additional costs on the recovery (even being predicted Asia costs will not be as much as costs in EU). This still put questions on the some projects financing time table.
Kementerian Pertahanan mengajukan total anggaran pertahanan Rp 319 triliun untuk 2023 atau naik lebih dari dua kali lipat dari 2022. Meski kenaikan anggaran dibutuhkan, usulan yang diajukan dinilai terlalu besar.
www.kompas.id
Indonesian MinDef ask for more than double on budget allocation for next year, as the increase actually part of financing time table on the procurement plan. This because many on the fixed allocation that already being agreed by MoF, going to be used for maintenance and bring back many of existing assets toward operational conditions.
Like I put before, the plan for high price items whether Rafale, F-15ID, FREMM, Arrowhead 140+, AEW, etc will be doubtfull can be executed altogether during this term. Something must to give. So there're rumours on FREMM being cut from 6 to 4, there are rumours on KFX licensing being cut instead to FA-50 licensing, there are rumours even to drop FREMM and instead to increase the numbers of Arrowhead 140+ due the projects being done altogether in PAL, there are rumours of Scorpene being dump to go back to DSME 1400 simply due to the costs (note: This rumours I heard frm finance people not the defense people).
All of this shown, there are still much recalculation, potential reprioritising within Bapenas and MoF with MinDef on all the projects financing. This is happen with all other ministries projects.