Royal New Zealand Air Force

ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Or we just revert back to using the C130s like we always have, and still do (although I see now he is even having a go at these after how many decades?). Having a B757 type doing flights to Antarctica is not a mission breaker, they trialled it, it worked, they had a scare and they stopped. It was a nice to know/have/use but definitely not now the way forward.

End of the day this is a civilian function that NZDF supports and should not be the be all end all of NZDF air transport, Brownlee is using Antarctica for complete justification when really he should be considering NZDF total outputs for overall justification. The fact he is still contemplating 1 C17 is getting to be a joke taking into account the cost, issues and considerations of such a move. If we were going to do that would it not be better just to charter USAF and they could easily bring one out of storage and add to their already established pool, cycle and Antarctic operation to cover?

X amount of flights for X amount of the year IMO still does not warrant a one off buy (literally). Two AC was borderline, one has crossed fully into Mexico in terms of out there.
But that still doesn't solve our strategic air transport issues does it? We still need to move gear that doesn't fit in C130s either because it's to big or heavy or both. And I'm putting the ice flights to one side. Methinks big Gerry might be doing a bit of dissembling at the moment.
 

t68

Well-Known Member
But that still doesn't solve our strategic air transport issues does it? We still need to move gear that doesn't fit in C130s either because it's to big or heavy or both. And I'm putting the ice flights to one side. Methinks big Gerry might be doing a bit of dissembling at the moment.
There are still options out there if one looks hard enough, but the only real option open to RNZAF is A400M.

New
Option 1: A400
Option 2: Boeing 747-400 freighter
http://www.cargolux.com/ftp/press/Brochures/pdfs/Boeing_747-400F.pdf

Used
Option 3: C17 (if USAF give up any)
Option 4: C5M
C-5 Modernization Program · Lockheed Martin

A400M should really be the airlifter under consideration, I don't think you really have any choice in the matter now getting a single C17 is just not viable
 

RegR

Well-Known Member
But that still doesn't solve our strategic air transport issues does it? We still need to move gear that doesn't fit in C130s either because it's to big or heavy or both. And I'm putting the ice flights to one side. Methinks big Gerry might be doing a bit of dissembling at the moment.
Well that's another issue and again I don't think a single C17 is the best soloution for that particular problem plus I'm positive the C130 replacement in 5+ years will address that regardless of any reason we want to pull the plan (or part thereof) forward.

Whilst I like seeing Gerry with so much passion for a defence project his reasoning and potential outcome is not really future proofing NZ responsibly in my opinion.
 

Bluey 006

Member
There are still options out there if one looks hard enough, but the only real option open to RNZAF is A400M.

New
Option 1: A400
Option 2: Boeing 747-400 freighter
http://www.cargolux.com/ftp/press/Brochures/pdfs/Boeing_747-400F.pdf

Used
Option 3: C17 (if USAF give up any)
Option 4: C5M
C-5 Modernization Program · Lockheed Martin

A400M should really be the airlifter under consideration, I don't think you really have any choice in the matter now getting a single C17 is just not viable
With Japan lifting export restrictions the Kawasaki C-2 could be an option,

Range: 6500 km (4,039 mi; 3,510 nmi) at max payload
Payload: 37,600 kg (37.6 tonnes) (84,000 lb)

On paper seems to be able to carry higher payloads further and faster than the A400

6500km @ 37,600 kg Vs 3300 km @ 37,000 kgs
 
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John Fedup

The Bunker Group
There are still options out there if one looks hard enough, but the only real option open to RNZAF is A400M.

New
Option 1: A400
Option 2: Boeing 747-400 freighter
http://www.cargolux.com/ftp/press/Brochures/pdfs/Boeing_747-400F.pdf

Used
Option 3: C17 (if USAF give up any)
Option 4: C5M
C-5 Modernization Program · Lockheed Martin

A400M should really be the airlifter under consideration, I don't think you really have any choice in the matter now getting a single C17 is just not viable
Is having only one C-17 less viable than having only one B757? Assuming support issues could be worked out with Australia, a single C-17 may still be an option. I guess if NZ doesn't opt for the last whitetail then Australia will likely grab it before someone in the RCAF figures out they should.:(
 

RegR

Well-Known Member
Is having only one C-17 less viable than having only one B757? Assuming support issues could be worked out with Australia, a single C-17 may still be an option. I guess if NZ doesn't opt for the last whitetail then Australia will likely grab it before someone in the RCAF figures out they should.:(
RNZAF has 2 B757s so at least it has a back up on a task (as per the Royals visit when both were actually used 'just in case') plus the 'transporter' fleet is the primary NZ air transport whereas the boeings are the secondary as in the C130s can cover the 757s if required (albeit slower and less graceful) but the 757s cannot cover off all C130 tasks so really not the same comparison. They actually are 2 different beasts regardless of some suggesting C17 taking on the B757 role.

I think Aus or Canada will pick up the last C17, could be a little cheaper as well as it is now an orphan and last one on the books before closing it, not sure why the GCC just didn't make an offer while they were in spending mode. The logistics, training and infrastructure required would make a single frame type more troublesome than it's worth for our small air force and inevitably eat into the other fleets resources (we will need another transport fleet possibly 2 either way) and it would more or less be in the RAAF anyway, we would just have opcon (when not in maintainence, training or upgrade that is).
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
RNZAF has 2 B757s so at least it has a back up on a task (as per the Royals visit when both were actually used 'just in case') plus the 'transporter' fleet is the primary NZ air transport whereas the boeings are the secondary as in the C130s can cover the 757s if required (albeit slower and less graceful) but the 757s cannot cover off all C130 tasks so really not the same comparison. They actually are 2 different beasts regardless of some suggesting C17 taking on the B757 role.

I think Aus or Canada will pick up the last C17, could be a little cheaper as well as it is now an orphan and last one on the books before closing it, not sure why the GCC just didn't make an offer while they were in spending mode. The logistics, training and infrastructure required would make a single frame type more troublesome than it's worth for our small air force and inevitably eat into the other fleets resources (we will need another transport fleet possibly 2 either way) and it would more or less be in the RAAF anyway, we would just have opcon (when not in maintainence, training or upgrade that is).
Sorry, was not aware NZ had two B757s, An orphan acquisition is an issue but perhaps OZ can help out their neighbour with the support issue. Canada does get a significant amount of amount of help from our larger neighbour but our neighbour is a superpower and it is a significant benefit to their security. It is also the reason why our electorate takes nation defence with a grain of salt.:(
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
@RegR...sure would like to think Canada will grab the last whitetail but I think Australia will move faster! Doubt the UK will grab it. As much as I would like Canada to get it, I think it is in Australia and NZ's interest that NZ acquire the last whitetail.
 

t68

Well-Known Member
@RegR...sure would like to think Canada will grab the last whitetail but I think Australia will move faster! Doubt the UK will grab it. As much as I would like Canada to get it, I think it is in Australia and NZ's interest that NZ acquire the last whitetail.
A single C17 with a Kiwi Roundel is a non-starter logistically and planning wise, RNZAF if they need it will continue to have access to RAAF C17, for NZ to have a viable capabilty they need in my opinion a minimum of 3 airframes, RAAF nearly got caught out when we only had 4 aircraft and 1 airframe was due back in the US for heavy maintenance, for this reason alone a single airframe is not an option if you work it hard with no backstop.

The replacement 757 aircraft could be link to a PPP (public private partnership)with Air New Zealand, it currently has a number of Boeing 787-9 on order. Their may be scoope for A-NZ to receive the proposed 787 freighter and have access to a number of flight hours if they can transform that into a combi with a removable interior for long haul VIP work or cargo and pax 3 airframes should cover that and when not in use A-NZ have the ability to put them to use on commercial freight duties. Thus freeing up RNZAF to gain extra A400M airframes to 8.
 

ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
A single C17 with a Kiwi Roundel is a non-starter logistically and planning wise, RNZAF if they need it will continue to have access to RAAF C17, for NZ to have a viable capabilty they need in my opinion a minimum of 3 airframes, RAAF nearly got caught out when we only had 4 aircraft and 1 airframe was due back in the US for heavy maintenance, for this reason alone a single airframe is not an option if you work it hard with no backstop.

The replacement 757 aircraft could be link to a PPP (public private partnership)with Air New Zealand, it currently has a number of Boeing 787-9 on order. Their may be scoope for A-NZ to receive the proposed 787 freighter and have access to a number of flight hours if they can transform that into a combi with a removable interior for long haul VIP work or cargo and pax 3 airframes should cover that and when not in use A-NZ have the ability to put them to use on commercial freight duties. Thus freeing up RNZAF to gain extra A400M airframes to 8.
Eight A400M isn't going to happen. There is no justification for that number at the moment. Five at the most with probably the C295W which is the new variant with winglets and upgraded engines covering tactical airlift.
 

htbrst

Active Member
A single C17 with a Kiwi Roundel is a non-starter logistically and planning wise, RNZAF if they need it will continue to have access to RAAF C17
While not ideal I wouldn't rate it an impossibility, I'm sure if you plan it right a RAAF C-17 could be made available when heavy maintenance is required - similar to the current arrangement when they need a C-17 - after all the RNZAF "only" has 2 757's and there are no others in the immediate region to leverage any savings in support costs (spares etc)

At least with 8 others in Australia there is support, training and spares infrastructure right next door - let alone the ability to effectively borrow one on occasion
 

t68

Well-Known Member
Eight A400M isn't going to happen. There is no justification for that number at the moment. Five at the most with probably the C295W which is the new variant with winglets and upgraded engines covering tactical airlift.
C295 can be seen as the Andover replacement for the smaller regional work ( was there ever a program implemented for there replacement can't find anything concrete) and should been seen in a different light, C295 can be seen as both a tactical/MPA asset(OceanSentry)

RNZAF has been struggling for a number of years with only 5 tactical and 2x strategic airlifters, if the goverment went the way for a PPP (757) that frees up funding for the strategic lifter for which A400M will combine both roles
 

t68

Well-Known Member
While not ideal I wouldn't rate it an impossibility, I'm sure if you plan it right a RAAF C-17 could be made available when heavy maintenance is required - similar to the current arrangement when they need a C-17 - after all the RNZAF "only" has 2 757's and there are no others in the immediate region to leverage any savings in support costs (spares etc)

At least with 8 others in Australia there is support, training and spares infrastructure right next door - let alone the ability to effectively borrow one on occasion
Only way I can see a single airframe getting up if you embedded it as part of No. 36 Squadron RAAF and once your single airframe goes off to heavy maintenance pilots and crew rotate along remaining airframes with their RAAF counterparts
 

t68

Well-Known Member
With Japan lifting export restrictions the Kawasaki C-2 could be an option,

Range: 6500 km (4,039 mi; 3,510 nmi) at max payload
Payload: 37,600 kg (37.6 tonnes) (84,000 lb)

On paper seems to be able to carry higher payloads further and faster than the A400

6500km @ 37,600 kg Vs 3300 km @ 37,000 kgs
On paper the C2 looks the goods but I have tried to go with aircraft that would have multiple end users or large end user for they should be able to keep the logistical spares inventory on a more global scale and readily avalible in a mature supply chain, on second thought should that also rule out the Europeans?
 

Bluey 006

Member
On paper the C2 looks the goods but I have tried to go with aircraft that would have multiple end users or large end user for they should be able to keep the logistical spares inventory on a more global scale and readily avalible in a mature supply chain, on second thought should that also rule out the Europeans?
True, but the European supply chain is a long way away, in comparison to Japan which is in our region. The other advantage (besides much better performance) of the C-2 ( once they get it perfect) is that it is considerable cheaper.

The C-2 unit cost is expected to be around $80 Million USD per plane, the A400 is upwards of $160 Million USD per plane (based on what i can find)

For a country with a tight budget like NZ this makes a big difference.

NZ might be able to get a fleet of 8 x XC-2s and 8 x C27J for the cost of 8 x A400M

Also the XC-2 has been designed to take-off and land on unprepared airstrips or short runways such as grass, snow and mud.

The extended range of the XC-2 allows it to fly (with a full payload) from Auckland to Dili or Perth to Diego Garcia without being refueled.

The key problem i imagine is ideological - NZ using Japanese equipment, however Australia is pretty keen to use Japanese equipment , so this may help change the NZ thought process.
 
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ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
True, but the European supply chain is a long way away, in comparison to Japan which is in our region. The other advantage (besides much better performance) of the C-2 ( once they get it perfect) is that it is considerable cheaper.

The C-2 unit cost is expected to be around $80 Million USD per plane, the A400 is upwards of $160 Million USD per plane (based on what i can find)

For a country with a tight budget like NZ this makes a big difference.

NZ might be able to get a fleet of 6-8 C-2s and C295s for the cost of 6-8 A400M

The key problem i imagine is ideological - NZ using Japanese equipment, however Australia is pretty keen to use Japanese equipment , so this may help change the NZ thought process.
It's not ideological it's about mature systems and the C2 isn't even operating with any Air Force yet yet so the NZG won't look at it. That's part of the problem with the A400M from the ministers POV but it is operating with Air Forces now. There is to much risk associated with the C2 for the NZG.
 

Bluey 006

Member
It's not ideological it's about mature systems and the C2 isn't even operating with any Air Force yet yet so the NZG won't look at it. That's part of the problem with the A400M from the ministers POV but it is operating with Air Forces now. There is to much risk associated with the C2 for the NZG.
Valid point - However the RNZAF won't be replacing the Hercules until after 2020 correct? By which point it should have been operating with the JSDF for at least a couple of years.

If it works as designed, it has significant capability advantages over the A400 and C-130J, given that the C17 option has virtually sailed - it should at least be looked at.
 

ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Valid point - However the RNZAF won't be replacing the Hercules until after 2020 correct? By which point it should have been operating with the JSDF for at least a couple of years.

If it works as designed, it has significant capability advantages over the A400 and C-130J, given the the C17 option has virtually sailed - it should at least be looked at.
What capability advantage does it have over the A400M? I don't see any really and in fact I see it the other way around. Maybe looked at yeas but by then it will be far to late because the Air Mobility Study finishes at the end of this year and the first C130 is due to be retired in 2018.
 

Gibbo

Well-Known Member
True, but the European supply chain is a long way away, in comparison to Japan which is in our region. The other advantage (besides much better performance) of the C-2 ( once they get it perfect) is that it is considerable cheaper.

The C-2 unit cost is expected to be around $80 Million USD per plane, the A400 is upwards of $160 Million USD per plane (based on what i can find)

For a country with a tight budget like NZ this makes a big difference.

NZ might be able to get a fleet of 8 x XC-2s and 8 x C27J for the cost of 8 x A400M

Also the XC-2 has been designed to take-off and land on unprepared airstrips or short runways such as grass, snow and mud.

The extended range of the XC-2 allows it to fly (with a full payload) from Auckland to Dili or Perth to Diego Garcia without being refueled.

The key problem i imagine is ideological - NZ using Japanese equipment, however Australia is pretty keen to use Japanese equipment , so this may help change the NZ thought process.
A NgatiM states, it'll have to be a well proven platform (a factor that also includes support & spares availability) before NZ Govt is prepared to look at it - the fact it's Japanese is irrelevant.

Also with regard to numbers it's important to realise that it's not about "how many of X we can get for the price of so many Y". I'm sure the NZDF would love a fleet of 8 large + 8 medium lifters but they will never get such numbers because it's the Govt that ultimately dictates numbers, and for decades they have very clearly worked to a "buy as few as you can realistically get away with" mentality.

I doubt the current 7 'large(ish) lifters will be replaced with much more than 9-10 in total (say 4 large & 5 medium). I'd put money on those sorts of numbers coming out of the transport review even though it is purely an uninformed guesstimate at this point.
 

Bluey 006

Member
What capability advantage does it have over the A400M? I don't see any really and in fact I see it the other way around. Maybe looked at yeas but by then it will be far to late because the Air Mobility Study finishes at the end of this year and the first C130 is due to be retired in 2018.
The C2 can carry its full load(37,600 kg) to 6500km
The A400 can only carry its full load (37,000 kgs) 3300 km

This a distinct advantage I would say, plus

The C2 ferry range 10,000 km (6,214 mi; 5,400 nmi)

The A400 ferry range 8,710 km (5,412 mi; 4,703 nmi)

It also flys higher and faster , has the ability to land on short runways ( as can the A400), has been designed to operate form unprepared airstrips ( including snow),ability to fly international airway routes, tactical flight management system, automatic load/off-load system, in-flight aerial refuelling, night vision system and forward looking infrared systems. Some of which the A400M also has and a few other bits an pieces.

but for me at the end of the day a transport aircraft primary mission is to move loads long distances - which it seems the C-2 has a distinct advantage in.

Lets not forget there have been a couple of A400 crashes of late...

Also if current projections are correct , the C-2 will be significantly cheaper

Can't hurt for NZG to at least make inquiries with the Japanese, especially since they government failed to take the c-17 option when it was available.


On the surface at least!!! it doesn't seem the NZDF and NZG are completely risk averse when there is a good deal, there are a number of programs that fit this category - buying the Aussie Sea sprite's springs to mind.
 
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