The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

personaldesas

Active Member

A Russian driver spent 39 hours waiting in line for gas. He blames the Russian authorities for the fuel crisis, not because they started the war with Ukraine, but because he thinks they're being "too soft" on Kyiv.
 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member

A Russian driver spent 39 hours waiting in line for gas. He blames the Russian authorities for the fuel crisis, not because they started the war with Ukraine, but because he thinks they're being "too soft" on Kyiv.
Exactly what is expected though, no? Any aggressive act will naturally lead to a higher level of “dislike” of the aggressor, in this case Ukraine, not Putin. Which is why Kursk adventures led to influx of volunteers to fight Ukraine. With cause of pain comes a stronger acceptance and desire among the Russian population to pound Ukraine harder, with nuclear option eventually becoming an acceptable and desirable next step (not tomorrow, clearly, but down (up?) the ladder). Eventually, the majority of the population will start asking the question of “why don’t we nuke them?” And it is silly to think, in my opinion, that a nuclear power can be defeated not strategically, but on the battlefield. A tank thinker (I don’t recall who it was, unfortunately) was writing the other day that it had never happened before that a nuclear power was being defeated by a nonnuclear state and he was not writing it as a concern of nukes being potentially used, but that Ukraine will defeat Russia on the battlefield. A completely insane thought process, in my opinion.


On the gasoline crisis. Here is a smart man who knows a thing or two about the topic, Khodorkovsky:

IMG_5732.jpeg
IMG_5733.jpeg

Another point:

IMG_5735.jpeg

To “translate”, the poster provided a graphic of gasoline production in Russia, by year, that differs from Khodor’s estimates. What Khodorkovsky is saying is that it includes naphtha, which Russia exports about 18M tonnes per year of (my note), can be further refined into a lower-quality gasoline to reduce the deficit (likely eliminate it completely). While Ladas will be just fine, it would suck for most other modern engines (does anyone care, but the owners?). It is just fine as a temporary measure though. More importantly, as he says, it is something that needs to be resolved first and it takes time. So far, I think, Russian government has shown that management is not the skill it is lacking - quite the opposite, actually. On the subject, Kazakhstan agreed to supply some fuel to Russia as well (but they lack capacity to significantly change the picture).

Khodorkovsky and the lemmings, from the same thread:

IMG_5734.jpeg

While I disagree with “three days like Putin” bit, he is spot on here. Lemmings gonna lemming.

Overall, imagine arguing with Khodorkovsky about how Russian oil industry operates. The “I understand you want to stay alive” is the icing on the lemming’s head too.

To note further, today diesel is still being exported by Russia with no restrictions (and the first/early harvesting season is about to start there). Interpret it as you will as far as Russian war effort goes. There are some “great news” soon to come from Ukraine from the frontline though, just around the corner. At least that’s what the “insiders” keep saying.
 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
WWIII, at last!

The US has warned Warsaw that Russia is planning an armed “provocation” against Poland to test Nato’s resolve, according to reports.
Sources close to Polish president Karol Nawrocki told Polish outlet Onet that the aim of Moscow’s possible assault, which could be launched in a matter of months, would be to provoke tensions and pressure Ukraine’s Western allies to suspend their military and financial aid.


I must confess I am more than a bit confused about how a provocation in Poland is going to make UK keep it shells and SCALPs. Anyway, all I can find is "Washington has issued several warnings to Warsaw" but only "sources close to Karol Nawrocki, the Polish president, told Onet"; in US is "institutional channels within the U.S. intelligence community and the White House".
So... Someone said something, I guess.
Pretty much this:

IMG_5728.jpeg
 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
I knowing a lot of Ukrainians, here and in the Ukraine. Most of the Ukrainians wants to fight for their freedom and their sovereignty. Not all.
But living under Russian terror is not favorable for them.
Sorry, I don’t know where “here” is, but if most of Ukrainians (including those that are in “here”) wanted to fight, they probably would not be wherever “here” is, no? This absolutely holds true for the Ukrainians in Ukraine too. I would say that most Ukrainians don’t want Ukraine to turn into Russia (or some such), but most do not want to fight for it would be a more appropriate way to put it. They would have zero issues filling the file if what you say were true, AWOL would not be as catastrophic as it is today, etc. Regardless of what anyone says (or thinks), all evidence points today to the fact that the absolute majority of Ukrainians do not want to fight (as in physically) in this war. They can tolerate the hardships, but heading to the frontline is definitely not an option for the absolute majority of the population.
 

personaldesas

Active Member
Exactly what is expected though, no? Any aggressive act will naturally lead to a higher level of “dislike” of the aggressor, in this case Ukraine, not Putin. Which is why Kursk adventures led to influx of volunteers to fight Ukraine. With cause of pain comes a stronger acceptance and desire among the Russian population to pound Ukraine harder, with nuclear option eventually becoming an acceptable and desirable next step (not tomorrow, clearly, but down (up?) the ladder).
Pain can rally people while they believe a war is winnable and worth its cost, but just as much can turn them against it once it stops feeling that way. Look at what triggered the 1905 revolution, what toppled the Tsar in 1917, why the USSR pulled out of Afghanistan in 1989, and why Russia signed a peace deal in the First Chechen War.

With cause of pain comes a stronger acceptance and desire among the Russian population to pound Ukraine harder, with nuclear option eventually becoming an acceptable and desirable next step (not tomorrow, clearly, but down (up?) the ladder). Eventually, the majority of the population will start asking the question of “why don’t we nuke them?”
As far as i can tell, by looking at the Levada polls: Support for considering nukes isn't climbing and has never been a majority: roughly 29% in 2023, a 39% peak in November 2024, then down to 24% by June 2025, below where it started.

And it is silly to think, in my opinion, that a nuclear power can be defeated not strategically, but on the battlefield. A tank thinker (I don’t recall who it was, unfortunately) was writing the other day that it had never happened before that a nuclear power was being defeated by a nonnuclear state and he was not writing it as a concern of nukes being potentially used, but that Ukraine will defeat Russia on the battlefield. A completely insane thought process, in my opinion.
Some examples to consider: the US lost Vietnam in 1975 and Afghanistan in 2021, the USSR lost Afghanistan in 1989, France lost Algeria in 1962, and China in Vietnam 1979. All cases of a nuclear power failing against a non-nuclear opponent and leaving its territory, and in none of them did the arsenal come out of the silos.
 

personaldesas

Active Member
Sorry, I don’t know where “here” is, but if most of Ukrainians (including those that are in “here”) wanted to fight, they probably would not be wherever “here” is, no? This absolutely holds true for the Ukrainians in Ukraine too. I would say that most Ukrainians don’t want Ukraine to turn into Russia (or some such), but most do not want to fight for it would be a more appropriate way to put it. They would have zero issues filling the file if what you say were true, AWOL would not be as catastrophic as it is today, etc. Regardless of what anyone says (or thinks), all evidence points today to the fact that the absolute majority of Ukrainians do not want to fight (as in physically) in this war. They can tolerate the hardships, but heading to the frontline is definitely not an option for the absolute majority of the population.
I think that’s true, but it’s true almost everywhere. Most people don’t want to die, lose limbs, or sit in a trench under artillery. That doesn’t mean they want their country surrendered to foreign powers.
 
Last edited:

Redshift

Active Member
Another question then...

Why is Zelenski sending his soldiers to their deaths in a war he knows he cannot win. In 2023 it was clear that Ukraine couldn't win the war (I would say it was clear before the war started, two ex-Soviet armies, one a lot bigger than the other), after the Kursk retun ticket it was simply criminal.
Of course, you have to define "victory", but Ukraine has lost 20% of its territory and doesn't have the money to fight the war; only 60%, but lets see at the end of the year. So, what is "victory" for a country in ruins, without money? Unless all Ukrainian refineries are working at a 100%, of course.
Yes yes but what about ..... I mean won't somebody think of what about????

Nail on head as always ... What about us by far the most compelling argument in the history of argument ls.
 

rsemmes

Active Member
So, how disturbing is Ukrainian soldiers trained in the UK?

“A few days ago, I initiated a constitutional amendment to remove the existing restriction on the possible deployment of nuclear weapons in Lithuania”. President Gitanas Nauseda said.
I also wonder if Russia is going to be allowed to consider a threat NATO deploying nuclear weapons in Lithuania.

“Anything that enables Russia to continue its war of aggression against Ukraine also represents a threat to our security.” German foreign ministry.
Really, they consider that a threat?
 

Redshift

Active Member
Something funny...

The Ukrainian General Staff estimates Russia has lost about 1,400,970 personnel, with 1,250 in the latest daily tally. Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said Russia is losing at least 1,000 troops daily, underscoring the intensity of current fighting. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy earlier noted that April alone saw over 35,000 Russian personnel killed or seriously wounded.

NATO estimates that Russia has suffered more than 1.4 million military casualties in its war against Ukraine, but believes Moscow has not abandoned its objectives.
Source: a senior NATO official speaking to journalists, as reported by a European Pravda correspondent in Brussels
More details: The official said Russia had suffered "between 1.3 and 1.45 million total casualties" since the start of the full-scale invasion, including around half a million killed.

NATO officials estimate that Russia has suffered between 1.3 and 1.45 million total casualties, including approximately 500,000 deaths, since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian military has suffered 1.4 million battlefield casualties and as many as 450,000 deaths since its February 2022 full-scale invasion, according to new CSIS data.

An "unknown NATO official"... Is NATO copy+paste whatever Ukraine says? Is CSIS using Ukrainian "data"? Is that how we do our "estimates"?
Well what do you think are the answers to the questions that you posed at the end of that post?

And why do you say we or our? "how WE do OUR "estimates"" are you a spokesperson for NATO?
 

crest

Active Member
There are people who believe that they should defend their country from foreign aggression even if the war doesn't look winnable. Because if they don't try, then their failure is 100% guaranteed, but if they try, then who knows, maybe in the future something will change and tip the balance.

And historically the second possibility has happened from time to time. Consider that the Taliban can't possibly win a war against the US, and yet in the end the US left Afghanistan and the Taliban came back to power. It doesn't always work and in fact most of the times it doesn't work, but again, if they don't try, then failure is 100% guaranteed.

I honestly can't comprehend why in this defense-oriented forum, there are people who can't seem to grasp that patriotism is real. You may not agree with it, but it exists. Evidence of this are too numerous to count throughout history.
{QUOTE}

Agree i think many on this forum and others tend to overlook willpower and focus on things like economcis,tecnolagy,comparitive size or morality. and dissmis willpower and motivation as {in my opinion} one of if not the primary factors in a nations ablity to fight. That said i think it goes against Ukraine in this war well russian moral could obviously be better its still remarkably high as one would expect from a volinteer system. true they volunteer for the money but still the morale to so such operations as small man inflitration teams or jumping on a dirt bike and blasting across no mans land in the face of drones is remarkable. Ukraine on the other hand is unable to feed its military on that basis and has for some time been in forced recuitment mode with all the predictable probloms that come with it. this is not to say there isnt a core of very motivated forces in the army just that there becoming more and more marginalized. militarys are in may respects a seperate society when morale plumets it often becomes systemic.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Update.

This update covers about a month of the war, unfortunately I haven't had the time to do this more frequently, which leads it to pile up. On the flip side it does give us a slightly longer view of events. Additionally due to the large size of the post, it took days to put together. At one point my computer restarted and ate some of my links. I've reconstructed it as best as I can.

Chernigov-Northern Sumy area.

Russian forces continue to gain ground in northern Sumy, pushing into Bachaevsk from Sopich, and biting off more tree-lines and fields in the south of the pocket. While these gains continue to be modest, and ultimately insignificant in the grand scheme, Russian command continues the efforts in this sector. It's really not clear what the ultimate purpose is.


Ukrainian strikes on the Sopich border crossing.


Ukraine is evacuating more border villages in Chernigov region.


Sumy area.

Russian forces are expanding their area of control in the northern part of the forest contesting Novaya Sech, Ivolzhanka, and Pisarevka, approaching Khotin. From the north-east Russian forces have secured most of Zapsel'ye, and are gaining ground along the border south of Miropol'ye. So far slow and steady Russian gains continue, suggesting Ukraine may have deprioritized this direction, and there are persistent though unsubstantiated reports of Russian infiltrators in the large forest north of Sumy. South of there Russian forces have gained some ground in Ryasnoe.


Kharkov area.

North-west of Kharkov Russia has begun an assault of Kozach'ya Lopan'. Around Volchansk the situation remains complex. Ukrainian attacks and Russian counter-attacks have turned the village of Vol'chya into a grey zone. Russian forces are trying to flank it from the east by advancing south of the Vol'chya river on a side front. Meanwhile Ukraine continues to attack into the forests south-west of Volchansk, attempting to completely eliminate the Russian salient there. They've recaptuerd Grafskoe, Shesterevka, and Verkhnyaya Pisarevka. Despite this Russian forces have also pushed southward, and the grey zone still extends all the way down to Shesterevka. Most recently Russia even pushed towards Zemlyanoy Yar, threatening Beliy Kolodets. If Russia can defeat Ukrainian efforts, this sector could end up with substantial Russian gains southward. If not, a grey zone might emerge like the one in south-eastern Dnepropetrovsk area. Russia also captured Chaikovka, and Okhrimovka/Efremovka and gained ground in a wide area south of the Volch'ya, south-east of Volchansk. East of there Russia has taken Budarky.


Russia hit a MAAWLR SAM in Kharkov region. This is also, I think, our first sighting of the type in Ukraine.


Kupyansk area.

Russian forces have made major gains here. North of Kupyansk Russian forces have pushed westward north of Figolevka, advancing on the line of villages along the road. Russia has also recaptured Otradnoe. In Kupyansk itself Russian forces have secured the entire eastern side of town and are advancing into western Kupyansk. South of Kupyansk Russian forces have taken the entire east bank of the Oskol river, down to Kupyansk-Uzlovoy, where Russian forces have consolidated and taken a large chunk of the town. All Ukrainian positions south-east of Kupyansk have been eliminated.


Russian Tor-M2 operations on the Kupyansk axis.


Oskol front.

Russian forces have pushed south, south of Zeleniy gay, crossing the road there. Meanwhile Ukrainian forces have recaptured Borovskaya-Andreevka.


Krasniy Liman area.

Russia is making a play to grab all of Krasniy Liman with widespread and sustained infiltrations into virtually every part of town and consolidation in several areas. It's starting to look like Liman may fall as a result of this push. Around Stavki Russia is slowly clearing out the grey zone. Meanwhile Ukrainian forces have counter-attacked north of Liman, recapturing Redkodub, and contesting Katerinovka and Novoe. The intent is clearly to collapse the Russian flank here and relieve Liman from the north. South Liman Ukrainian forces have attacked, clearing part of the forest, approaching Dibrova, and re-entering Yampol'. The intent is to relieve pressure on Liman,


Russian bomb strikes on the western side of Krasniy Liman, allegedly targeting the Ukrainian 60th Mech Bde.


Russia hit what appears to be an under construction crossing over the Severskiy Donets near Mayaki.


A look at the road north-west from Slavyansk, through Ray-gorodok towards Krasniy Liman.


Russia hit a bridge along the highway towards Izyum, north-east of Slavyansk, however the bombs missed, with only minor damage to the bridge.


Nikolaevka area.

Russian forces here have taken Malaya Peskunovka, on the Severskiy Donets river, and have taken most of Ray-Aleksandrovka. Along the canal Russian forces have advanced from Fedorovka Drugaya, and taken the village of Yurkovka, west of the canal. Russia has also cleared the area north-west of Lipovka, eliminating the grey zone there. Meanwhile updated footage confirms there is still a narrow Ukrainian salient south of Krivaya Luka.


Russian strikes on the Slavyanskaya power plant.


Russian bomb strikes on Nikolaevka.


Russian gliding bomb strikes on Slavyansk.


Druzhkovka area.

Russian forces push across the canal into Tikhonovka and Malinovka.


Russian drones find a Ukrainian armored vehicle repair facility in Kramatorsk and take out 2 tanks and 2 trucks with trailers.


Russian bomb and missiles strikes on Kramatorsk. 3 civilians are reported killed.


Reportedly Ukraine is evacuating industrial enterprises from Kramatorsk.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Konstantinovka area.

Russia now holds almost all of Konstantinovka with Ukrainian held areas still extant on the northern outskirts. Sweeping operations are still ongoing. Russian forces have also gained ground west of the town with Dolgaya Balka and Roskoshnoe contested. There are also Russian gains north-east of the town. I suspect we will see a withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from the area just south-west of Chasov Yar.


Russia hit a Ukrainian T-80 and a ARV converted from a Msta-S chassis, northern outskirts of Konstantinovka.


A knocked out Ukrainian Leopard-1 near Konstantinovka.


Ukrainian infantry moving supplies by cart into Konstantinovka, through a net-tunnel.


Russian flag waving all over Konstantinovka.


Ukrainian gliding bomb strike on Konstantinovka.


Pokrovsk area.

West of Pokrovsk Russian forces have captured Novopodgorodnoe and Mirnoe. They have also advanced in multiple areas in between the two locales, and pushed northward east of Mirnoe. Overall they're continuing the pattern of wrapping around the stiff Ukrainian resistance in the sector between Biletskoe and Dobropol'ye.


Russian strikes on a Ukrainian crossing near Dobropol'ye.


Russian forces with a rare 2S6 in the Dobropol'ye area. This system has been upgraded with a new EO system, likely for better ability to engage drones. This vehicle is from the 27th MRDiv.


Dnepropetrovsk axis.

Ukraine has recaptured all of Novopavlovka, Ivanovka, Zeleniy Gay, Novokhatskoe, Novoselovka and are pushing into Poddubnoe. Overall a large grey zone is forming here too, with only loose control of areas by either side. In general this has been the most successful area for Ukraine and one where they're replicating what they did in south-eastern Dnepropetrovsk region. It's noteworthy that in that area they weren't able to advance beyond a certain area, and converted much into grey zone rather than taking it definitevely. It's possible this is intentional, a way to make further advances for Russia very difficult on a permanent basis.


Russian infantry in Tolstoe and Voskresenka, allegedly sweeping for Ukrainian forces.


Russian strikes on Ukrainian soldiers in Tolstoe.


Eastern Zaporozhye.

Updated information shows that Ukraine continues to hold a number of positions west of Zaliznichnoe and even the village of Gor'koe. Ukrainian forcse have also counter-attacked, re-entering Verkhnyaya Tersa and Vozdvizhenka, taking the western halves of each villages. Meanwhile Russian forces have advances westward near Lugovskoe, and are pushing into Novoselovka, where clearing operations are ongoing. On the northern side a Russian push has put them in Novoskeletovatoe, Pisantsi, Danilovka, and Bogodarovka. However it appears that no consolidation took place. The grey zone expands.


Russian strikes on Ukrainian forces moving across the Volch'ya.


Russian drone strikes on a couple of Ukrainian pickups and an armored vehicle. Results are unclear.


Drone defense teams from the 40th MarBde, Gulyaypole area.


Zaporozhye area.

Ukrainian forces continue attacking in the Stepnogorsk area. They're clearly taking substantial losses, but they're gaining ground steadily here. Ukraine has also gained ground towards Malie Scherbaki and Scherbaki, contesting both villages. Around Orekhov Russian forces have gained some ground south and south-west of Novoandreevka, and are making another play for Novodanilovka.


Ukrainian forces have re-entered the southern part of Plavni, south-west of Stepnogorsk.


Ukraine has hit the bridge in Vasil'yevka, Zaporozhye region. This is the MSR for Russian forces in the Stepnogorsk area.


Ukraine has begun installing anti-drone netting in Zaporozhye city.


Dnepr front.

Russia hit Kherson with gliding bombs.


Ukraine hit a gas station in Skadovsk, Kherson region. 1 civilian was killed.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Black Sea/Crimea.

Russia takes out Ukrainian unmanned boats.


Russia hit 2 Ukrainian patrol boats on the Black Sea.


Russia hit the container ship Victress, and 2 other ships, heading to Odessa.


Russian bomb strikes on Preobrazhenskiy island, just north off the coast of Crimea, towards Nikolaev.


Ukraine hit a Russian Svetlyak type Coast Guard ship near Crimea with a drone, also a Pantsyr decoy, and a locomotive.


Ukrainian Bayraktar takes out a Russian unmanned boat near Odessa. Note the boat appears to be inactive.


Ukraine hit the NITRA and ZIRCON cargo ships, as well as 3 others, in the Azov sea with drones. 5 Azeri sailors were killed.


Ukraine hits a cargo ship in the Azov sea.


Ukraine hit what appear to be Pantsyr-S1 decoys in Crimea. Note some appear to be quite sophisticated, with heating to fool thermals and rotating radars. Of course Russia is playing catchup, Ukraine has been ahead in decoy production and deployment this entire time.


Ukrainian drones hit the Tavricheskaya and Simferopol' power plants and several substations in Sevastopol' and Simferopol'. They also hit the West Crimean substation.


Ukraine hit the Dzhankoy passenger rail station in Crimea. Trains are being re-routed.


Strike.

The volume of strikes going back and forth has gotten so large that I will probably stop doing a detailed rundown of them, instead only focusing on specific points of interest or outliers. I don't have the bandwidth to keep going through them like this, and it's not clear it adds much value. If you find this material interesting/valuable I suggest you follow RVVoenkory, AMK Mapping, and Zoka. Link to all three (and others) are liberally sprinkled in below.

The campaign against Ukrainian rail capacity, specifically locomotives, continues. We have locomotives hit in Kharkov and Zaporozhye region. There are reports that this is causing disruption to Ukrainian rail traffic, but so far the accumulating effect hasn't really prevented Ukraine from running the rail network. It will likely require months of continued efforts to really shut it down. Meanwhile Ukraine has begun mounting drone cages and camouflaging locomotives.


Ukraine has been trying to isolate Crimea by hitting the bridges leading to the peninsula and targeting all cargo trucks heading into it. There are even some isolated incident of mines being dropped. However the channels that separate Crimea from the mainland are small and not currently holding much water, making it easy to build alternative crossings with embankments and pontoon bridges. The strikes extend beyond the immediate crossings into the region, to the new highway Russia has built along the Azov coast. So far they have managed to disrupt traffic, and create fuel shortages but not actually cut off the peninsula. Meanwhile an increase in Russian mobile fire teams along the highway towards Crimea has somewhat mitigated the impact, though it's far from a complete solution.

In response to this Russia has dramatically expanded drone targeting of civilian trucks on various roads within Russian drone range inside Ukraine. Note that while Russia can probably hit more total trucks then Ukraine can, Ukraine is doing this as part of a consistent strategy to isolate Crimea. Russia instead seems to simply be hitting back to put some pain on Ukraine, but without a strategic purpose behind it. This doesn't mean the Russian effort won't produce results, at the end of the day mass destruction of trucks may render certain roads unusuable and create logistical issues not only for the Ukrainian armed forces but also for civilian populations, isolating certain areas and creating new vulnerabilities as supply routes become more limited.


One other new trend has emerged. Russia is actively targeting gas stations across Ukraine. This is largely in near front areas, and it's far from total. But as the damage accumulates it will certainly cause problems for fuel distribution. It's notable that the Ukrainian miliatry regularly uses civilian gas stations for fuel so there will be an effect on the war effort.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Russia hit Kiev. Targets include a storage facility, fuel storage, a building in the Zhulyani airport, an oil depot, and a Novaya Pochta terminal. At least some Iskanders and allegedly a Tsirkon hypersonic cruise missile were intercepted. Links represent at least 6 waves of strikes. It appears Kiev has been de-prioritized. This entire month we've only had 2 large waves of strikes on Kiev, though the last one came with a high death toll of 31 civilians killed and 102 injured.


Russia hit Snovsk, Chernigov region. The target was reportedly the locomotive depot.


Russian hit Ladynka, Chernigov region. The target was a warehouse, and 14 cruise missiles were used, making this an unsually large strike. Reportedly this warehouse contained Patriot interceptors that went up in flames from this Russian strike.


Russia hit a couple of agro-industrial targets in Chernigov region.


Russia hit Mikhailo-Kosbynskoe. The target was school.


Russia hit a gas station near Krolevets, Sumy region.


Russia hit Sumy city. Targets include a gas station and a Novaya Pochta facility. At least one bomb hit a residential area killing 4 civilians and wounding 27 others.


Russia hit the rail station in Konotop, Sumy region.


Russia hit the Shostka rail station, Sumy region.


Russia hit Voronezh, Sumy region, causing a large fire at the substation Tereschenskaya, and damaging local rail infrastructure. Reportedly 1 rail worker was killed and another injured.


Russia hit Kharkov. Targets include the powerplant and storage facilities. Links represent at least 4 separate waves of strikes. 5 Ukrainian rescue workers were killed in a double-tap strike.


Russia hit Dergachi, Kharkov region. Targets include a gas station.


Russia hit Chuguev, Kharkov region. Reportedly Tornado-S were used.


Russia hit a substation near Stariy Saltov, Kharkov region.


Russia hit a Novaya Pochta terminal near Noviy Korotich, Kharkov region.


Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian vehicles near Balakleya.


Russia hit Shevchenkovo, Kharkov region.


Russia hit Poltava.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Russia hit 3 gas stations in Dnepropetrovsk region, near the villages of Novomoskovka and Gubinikha.


Russia hit a gas distribution station near Gubinikha, Dnepropetrovsk region. Note the hardening measures taken to protect the object.

t.me/AMK_Mapping/32384

Russia hit Vasil'kovka, Dnepropetrovsk region.


Russia hit Dmitrovka, Dnepropetrovsk region.


Russia hit the village of Orelskoe, Dnepropetrovsk region. The target was a storage facility.


Russia hit Pavlograd.


Russia hit Dnepropetrovsk. Targets include a plastics factory, ATM and Novaya Pochta logistics facilities. Links represent at least 4 separate waves of strikes.


Russia hit Kremenchug. Targets include the local powerplant.


Russia hit Krivoy Rog. Targets include a shopping center and the thermal powerplant.


Russia hit a fuel storage facility near Novoe, Kirovograd region.


Russia hit Zaporozhye. Targets include a couple of gas stations, a truck depot, industrial facilities of an unspecified kind, the base of the 55th Arty Bde, the government office, the Motor-Sech factory, a Novaya Pochta terminal, and the Yukoil lubricants plant. Links represent at least 6 separate waves of strikes. This past month Zaporozhye seems to have been the main target for incoming strikes.


Russia also apparently tried to hit the Preobrazhenskiy bridge in Zaporozhye, but missed pretty badly. Some interpret this as targeting something near the bridge rather than the bridge itself, but it fits with the recent pattern of increases in missed bomb strikes. This is the only bridge across the Dnepr until Dnepropetrovsk. So if Russia did take it out, it would substantially disrupt Ukrainian logistics, and even civilian traffic. If this is the intent, Russia will probably try again. If we think back to Ukraine's campaign against bridges in Kherson region back in '22, it took many weeks of sustained strikes to convince Russia to pull back. Even so the Antonov bridge wasn't actually destroyed by the strikes. A lot of these bridges, built back in the Soviet era, were designed to be able to withstand a considerable amount of damage.


Russian FPV drones now reach Zaporozhye. Ukraine may be forced to evacuate the city.


Russia hit Vol'nyansk, Zaporozhye region.


Russia hit a gas pumping station near Lyutsenka, Zaporozhye region.


Russia hit a fuel storage facility near Vysokogornoe, Zaporozhye region.


Russia hit 2 MiG-29s at the Voznesensk airbase. One was clearly destroyed, another one likely damaged, possibly destroyed, inside a HAS that happened to have the doors open. Some sources claim there were 2 jets inside the HAS when it got hit. The jet was reportedly being fueled at the time. Allegedly Geran'-4 drones were used.


Russia hit Nikolaev city. Fires broke out.


Russia hit a gas station in Ochakov, Nikolaev region.


Russia hit a substation near Kazanka, Nikolaev region.


Russia hit Shihurovka, Nikolaev region. Targets include a hardware store and a gas station.


Russia hit a Ukrainian military training facility in Nikolaev region. Allegedly this was an area storing unmanned boats.


Russia hit Odessa, targeting fuel storage and fuel trucks.


Russia hit some fuel trucks in Monashi, Odessa region.


Russia hit Il'ichevsk/Chernomorsk, Odessa region.


Russia hit Mayaki, Odessa region, probably targeting the bridge there. It's noteworthy that Russia still hasn't managed to destroy the bridge, lending credibility to the theory that the reason Russia doesn't hit the bridges across the Dnepr is because they likely won't be able to destroy them. Meanwhile Ukraine has set up a pontoon bridge as an alternative crossing.


Russia hit the Rokotnoe substation in Rovno region.


Russian Shaheds taking out Ukrainian mobile drone launchers.


Russia is expanding drone port facilities in Primorsko-Akhtarsk to launch new Geran'-5 drones.


Russian Banderol' munition over Poltava. Despite being shown off some time ago, their use remains relatively scarce.


Ukrainian MiG-29 flying with AAMs for drone defense, Odessa region.


Ukrainian sources report Russia has started using cluster warheads on their Kalibr cruise missiles.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Ukraine hit Moscow. Targets include the oil refinery. Quite a few drones were used to accomplish these strikes, and represent a concentrated effort to hit Moscow. Reportedly we have the first use, and successful interception of the Ukraine's FP-9 ballistic missile.


Ukraine hit Voronezh. Targets include a semiconductor factory, in the middle of the work day, killing 5 workers. Storm Shadow missiles were used in the strike.


Ukraine hit St. Petersburg, targets include the oil terminal and the Boykiy corvette, in drydock. I think the ship is complete loss.


Russian Mi-28 doing drone interception work near St. Petersburg.


Ukraine hit the 15th Naval Arsenal, Leningrad region.


Ukraine hit Volgograd. Targets include the Titan-Barricade factory involved in rocket and artillery production. 10 civilians are reportedly wounded.


Ukraine hit Tolyatti, targeting a local rubber production factory.


Ukraine hit Nizhnekamsk, targeting a local rubber production factory.


Ukraine hit 2 trains in Bryansk region, one a fuel train ~55kms from the border, the other a carge train ~40kms.


Ukraine hit an oil terminal at the port Kavkaz, and at the Taman' oil terminal, Krasnodar region.


Ukrainian FP-2 drones hit an oil refinery in Samara region, presumably with Starlink guidance.


Ukraine hit Slavyansk-na-Kubani. Targets include the local oil refinery.


Ukraine has hit a series of small radars set up in Belgorod region. The sheer number of radars indicates Russia is trying to build a network of sensors for drone detection.


Ukraine hit Belgorod with HIMARS. Targets include two substations and possibly the powerplant.


Ukraine hit Alekseevka, Belgorod region, with Storm Shadow missiles. Targets include a cement factory and the MELZAVOD factory. This is probably a staging area for Russian forces. These are two separate strikes.


Ukraine hit the Azot chemical plant, in Tula.


Ukraine hit a Russian helo staging area near Veidevka, Belgorod region.


Ukraine hit Gus' Khrustal'niy in Vladimir region. The target was the local space communication center. There is damage to two buildings and one antenna.


Ukraine hit a space communication center in Dubna, Moscow region.


Ukraine hit a fuel depot in Krasnodar region.


Ukraine hit Efimovka village, Volgograd region. The target was an oil pumping station.


Ukraine hit the Afipskaya and Islky oil refineries, Krasnodar region. These are two separate strikes.


Ukraine hit Ust'-Labinsk, Krasnodar region. The target was a fuel storage facility.


Ukraine hit an oil refinery in Kstovo, Nizhegorodskaya region.


Ukraine hit the Gvardeyskoe airbase, Crimea.


Ukraine hit Mariupol', the target was the port.


Ukraine hit the Arbat Spit, Kherson region. Fires are burning, targets are unclear.


Ukraine took out a rail bridge west of Lugansk with a drone strike.

 
Top