Larry_L
Active Member
Here is my virtual tour of the battlefield for the day. The first item is from War on the Rocks, featuring Mike Kofman, and Rob Lee. It is a detailed overview of the summer offensive. I Iearned a few things here. One that struck home is that just getting fire control over the Russian supply lines along the Black sea coast will not be enough to sever the logistics to the extent that the front will collapse. It is a long read, and many of you already know much of this, so am providing a few quotes.
"There is no single answer to the challenges Ukraine faces. The problem cannot be reduced to a lack of Western tactical aviation. The more important factors remain ammunition, training, providing the necessary enablers, and effective resource management in a war of attrition."
"While there is no way to truly know what percentage of combat power has been committed, at this point most of the Ukrainian brigades expected to be involved in the offensive, including air assault reserve units, are contributing to the fight in one fashion or another. It is unclear if Ukraine is transferring additional forces from other fronts, though some recent reporting suggests this might be the case. Russia has also deployed strategic reserves, including the 7th Guards Mountain Air Assault Division and 76th Guards Air Assault Division, and elements of its Dnipro task force in Kherson."
"Ukraine has killed multiple Russian generals in Storm Shadow missile strikes and has targeted logistics nodes and key bridges. These strikes have complicated Russian operations, enabling progress, but by themselves, long-range missiles have not proven a panacea. Part of the reason is Russian adaptation after the introduction of HIMARS systems last year, hardening command and control nodes, dispersing logistics, and pushing supplies directly to the front. A robust strike campaign to isolate the theater of operations by focusing on Russian lines of communication might have greater effect. Yet four months of strikes with Storm Shadow missiles suggest that the task of severing Russian supply lines with missiles alone is harder than some might believe."
Tom Cooper states that Ukraine finally took the high ground in the Verbove area, namely hills 166, and 161. I believe these numerical designations are referenced to height in meters above sea level. Even if this is true, Russia likes to counterattack, so these hills might change hands again.
xxtomcooperxx.substack.com
Def Mon is less optimistic on the Ukrainian advance.
According to Russian sources they have destroyed several of Ukrainian "Ships". I suppose that sounded better than "boats" to someone.
Zalyzhnyi , or whoever this is, gives a different picture of what is going on in the Black sea. It would be really strange if the report of Russian aircraft failure to down a Ukrainian drone was true,
At the end of the day, I haven't a clue what happened on the border of Romania, It did happen just as grain deal discussion was to start.
"There is no single answer to the challenges Ukraine faces. The problem cannot be reduced to a lack of Western tactical aviation. The more important factors remain ammunition, training, providing the necessary enablers, and effective resource management in a war of attrition."
"While there is no way to truly know what percentage of combat power has been committed, at this point most of the Ukrainian brigades expected to be involved in the offensive, including air assault reserve units, are contributing to the fight in one fashion or another. It is unclear if Ukraine is transferring additional forces from other fronts, though some recent reporting suggests this might be the case. Russia has also deployed strategic reserves, including the 7th Guards Mountain Air Assault Division and 76th Guards Air Assault Division, and elements of its Dnipro task force in Kherson."
"Ukraine has killed multiple Russian generals in Storm Shadow missile strikes and has targeted logistics nodes and key bridges. These strikes have complicated Russian operations, enabling progress, but by themselves, long-range missiles have not proven a panacea. Part of the reason is Russian adaptation after the introduction of HIMARS systems last year, hardening command and control nodes, dispersing logistics, and pushing supplies directly to the front. A robust strike campaign to isolate the theater of operations by focusing on Russian lines of communication might have greater effect. Yet four months of strikes with Storm Shadow missiles suggest that the task of severing Russian supply lines with missiles alone is harder than some might believe."
Perseverance and Adaptation: Ukraine’s Counteroffensive at Three Months - War on the Rocks
On June 4, Ukraine launched its long-awaited offensive. The operation has proven to be a test of Ukrainian determination and adaptation. Despite stiff
warontherocks.com
Tom Cooper states that Ukraine finally took the high ground in the Verbove area, namely hills 166, and 161. I believe these numerical designations are referenced to height in meters above sea level. Even if this is true, Russia likes to counterattack, so these hills might change hands again.
Ukraine War, 4 September 2023
I’m very sorry, but much too busy with my work, these days (and yes, working during the weekend, too), to fill a proper report....though... and essentially, and from the area between Novoprokopivka and Verbove: - on Friday, the ZSU, definitely, secured the Hill 166;
Def Mon is less optimistic on the Ukrainian advance.
According to Russian sources they have destroyed several of Ukrainian "Ships". I suppose that sounded better than "boats" to someone.
Zalyzhnyi , or whoever this is, gives a different picture of what is going on in the Black sea. It would be really strange if the report of Russian aircraft failure to down a Ukrainian drone was true,
At the end of the day, I haven't a clue what happened on the border of Romania, It did happen just as grain deal discussion was to start.
