Air Based Offensive Against Iran- Possible?

[gf0012-aust]

What is the 2355 scenario?

Its the 5 minutes to midnight issue.

ie do they run the risk of getting caught up in the defcon 2 to defcon 1 scenario

whether the US wants to or not, it will be critical in influencing what degree of activity the israelis are confident of undertaking.

of course the israelis may act unilaterally, but they will still want US support prior to and after the event, again, depending on what they see is the need to do to protect the state.

 

[STURM]

I think a question that must be asked at this point is what are isreals chances of sucsess if they do attempt to strike iran by themselfs and more importently is isreal capable of a sustaing air campain agianst iran

The Israeli's certainly can't sustained a prolonged air campaign - due to the distance and logistics involved - and are under no illusions that a strike, or even a few, will cause lasting damage to Iranian facilities. They are banking on the fact that the USAF and the USN will do the job for them. The very minute a single Iranian missile hits Israel, whether an empty spot in the Negev or a parking lot in Haifa, the U.S. will react, not doing so will be political suicide for Obama and contrary to longstanding U.S. policy of 'protecting' Israel against any threats.

aswell as anger from the rest of the m.e not to mention the rockets and morters that would be shure to follow

Most assume that the very minute an Iranian facility is hit, that Hezbollah rockets will start flying towards the northern kibbutz's. That may well not be the case, with Assad under seige, it may be to Iranian and Syrian interests for Hezbollah to sit it out. My guess is that if Hezbollah starts sending rockets over, the Israeli's might use it as a pretext to finish off what they didn't or failed to do in 2006 - and that will be the last thing Iran and Syria needs right now. Bear in mind that what happens in Syria has a direct bearing on what happens in Iran and the Lebanon.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...o-do-is-to-break-iran--via-syria-8037174.html

http://www.agenceglobal.com/index.php?show=article&Tid=2893

http://www.agenceglobal.com/index.php?show=article&Tid=2852

 

[SteelTiger 177]

While an air assualt might be the way to go we should look at th potential for a number of amphibous and airmobile raids on coastal facilities like Peshwar and Bandar Abbas.

 

[Marc 1]

While an air assualt might be the way to go we should look at th potential for a number of amphibous and airmobile raids on coastal facilities like Peshwar and Bandar Abbas.

Can I ask to what end? Do you have info on the presence of Nuc manufacturing on either location?