There'll have to be an open competition, but if Babcock do what they're contracted to do with the Type 31 I think there's every possibility they'll win again.The current scuttlebutt theory is that if Babcock do a half decent job of these, Type 32 will be a follow on order of more of the same in reality.
That's just a guess - nothing to back it up but I'm guessing a bit in that giving 32 it's own name, it leaves things open to award whatever looks betest at the time. Hopefully they'll be more heavily armed and better specified.
You don't need an inside track to think there's a fair chance the Type 32 will be a modified Type 31 rather than a radically new design, because it will be a mature platform designed in mind with upgrade options and therefore lower risk. That's even without considering the fact the Indonesian contract will see a modified configuration, which will be useful in progressing the Type 32.
In other news I came across this report on Sea Serpent.
Israeli Aerospace Industries (IAI) showcased for the first time the new Sea Serpent anti-ship missile, which was developed in collaboration with Thales, at the DSEI 2021 trade show in London.
I'm intrigued. IAI seem to be pushing this really hard as a special missile delivering what the Royal Navy needs rather than off the shelf Gabriel V. I'm not aware any of I-SSGW bidders are offering anything other than a standard version of their missiles.
The mysterious comment over the terminal phase implies it has something special that will be mentioned in a private UK briefing. Plus them stating the footprint should be similar to Harpoon and the range of "greater than" 290km makes it more than viable.
I'm just wondering if the I-SSGW delay has been caused in part by IAI making a late offer and that made the Royal Navy reconsider a provisional choice of NSM or Gungir.