Middle East Crisis

Big_Zucchini

Well-Known Member
US marines land on Israeli beaches for 3 week long exercises:

The WarZone, as always, putting out great material. I highly recommend to read the article directly, and yet, a TLDR:

  • Iran said talks will be delayed until the end of November, when some believe a point of no return in nuclear material quantity will be reached (assuming 0 interruptions).
  • This statement led to rising tensions including a rush to develop a credible 'plan B'.
  • This unprecedented exercise comes amidst debates between Israel and US (and European allies) on how to deal with Iran.
  • Yet the exercise is largely due to Israel's shift from EUCOM to CENTCOM, a more natural mix where Israel and the US have a higher potential for cooperation.
Personal note - although often conflated with a conventional war, such 'plan B' operations are seen within the local mil community as a skirmish with risk of subsequent limited proxy warfare. Therefore much of the 3 week long exercise is likely irrelevant to Iran.
Israel itself possesses the means to go at it alone, but an American assistance through unique technologies would greatly de-risk it.
 

Big_Zucchini

Well-Known Member
Poll: Almost half of Jewish Israelis support making IDF a professional army.

Yeah, this is still a poll. And yet, this is a major step forward. The public debate around making the IDF a professional army is ramping up and shows solid support. The trend is natural growth in support due to the IDF's policy of providing soldiers with 'subsistence' payments, rather than a salary. That is, if the minimum wage is 5,300 NIS or 1,700 USD, a soldier gets 830 NIS or 267 USD.
This is supported by 2 trends:
1. Israel is already established as one of the most expensive countries to live in, and it's not slowing down. Average income is severely lagging behind. Parents are increasingly subsidizing their children's service. Many soldiers will spend 25% of their pay on food alone, per week.
2. Draft dodging is only increasing in percentage. At the moment, only roughly 50% enlist, the rest are either exempt since birth or find legal loopholes to dodge.

I'm not saying this government or the next may implement it, but perhaps by the middle of the next decade we could see something very close to having a professional army. This does not have to happen in one sweeping motion.

There is current debate about increasing minimum wage by 15%, but servicemen salaries by 50%, so with a few consecutive measures like this the gap could start to close.
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
Poll: Almost half of Jewish Israelis support making IDF a professional army.

Yeah, this is still a poll. And yet, this is a major step forward. The public debate around making the IDF a professional army is ramping up and shows solid support. The trend is natural growth in support due to the IDF's policy of providing soldiers with 'subsistence' payments, rather than a salary. That is, if the minimum wage is 5,300 NIS or 1,700 USD, a soldier gets 830 NIS or 267 USD.
This is supported by 2 trends:
1. Israel is already established as one of the most expensive countries to live in, and it's not slowing down. Average income is severely lagging behind. Parents are increasingly subsidizing their children's service. Many soldiers will spend 25% of their pay on food alone, per week.
2. Draft dodging is only increasing in percentage. At the moment, only roughly 50% enlist, the rest are either exempt since birth or find legal loopholes to dodge.

I'm not saying this government or the next may implement it, but perhaps by the middle of the next decade we could see something very close to having a professional army. This does not have to happen in one sweeping motion.

There is current debate about increasing minimum wage by 15%, but servicemen salaries by 50%, so with a few consecutive measures like this the gap could start to close.
Average incomes in many countries are lagging behind. In Canada, the price of a detached house rose 18% over the last 12 months. Inflation is really starting to bite into fuel and food here. Rest assured military salaries in Canada are not keeping pace (except at the brass hat level).
 
Top