robsta83 said:
Would it be fair to say the the biggest problem to overcome would be the SAM's? Would it be the MANPADS or the networked systems that creat the most difficulties?
IMV the GBAD is more of a threat than the fighters of said nations. That because they require fixed infrastructure, and when they enter the fray by going airborne, they will be picked up immediately by the ISR assets of the US and engaged. Survivability of their fighters would be a function of how hard an attack is pressed and of US availability of assets to pursue.
That being said it could be possible to spring a quick attack with light fighters or a F-14 could get lucky with an air launched Hawk. Who knows?
I would guess retention of defending air assets also put restrictions on the mission planning of the offense, diminishing effectiveness by having a "fleet in being."
MANPADS/AAA would be able to defend against cruise missiles and low flying UAV's. The expensive assets are unlikely to enter - what I have seen it referred to - the "trashfire envelope."
I would consider the most capable part the integrated SAM network, though density and sophistication would be less than that of the Iraqi defenses during Desert Storm. Also, at least the Iranian system is configured in a point defense mode.
However, there could be very capable systems like the Tor M1 that could make things difficult.
What has really changed is the US ability to hit more targets and in standoff modes. The availability of cruise missiles is much higher and the target set it is possible to engage with CM's has expanded. The JDAM makes it possible to hit a huge number of aimpoints. And at a distance from target.
It is not necessary to do a Tornado pass over a defended airfield to enable the JP 233 to sprinkle the runway with bomblets.
To put some idea on what the JDAM does, I would hazard an estimate of at least 50,000 JDAM currently in US inventory with growing numbers. As contrast IIRC 7,500 was used for the maneuver war of OIF and a similar number in Afghanistan. The US wouldn't have these numbers if they weren't able to deliver them...