I just read an interesting Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments paper on the cancelation of the US Army's FCS program and what that might mean for the US Army going forward. One point that was made in the paper was that in the forseeable future, the greatest threats the US Army was likely to face would continue to be primarily asymetric threats from non-state or individual actors rather than large conventional ground forces of the type the FCS was designed to defeat. Even the handful of nations that can field large conventional forces and are potentialy US adversaries (North Korea, Iran) are likely to resort to asymmetric tactics rather than fight a Gulf War 1 or opening stages of OIF conflict, as the current US Army forces would presumably be sufficient to wipe the floor with them.
So my question is what direction should the US Army's force structure (and moderinization) go? History has shown us that forces designed and trainined to primarily fight large scale conventional conflicts are often ill suited to fight asymmetric or counter-insurgency conflicts. At the same time, equipment and training for those sorts of fights are often little use in any potential conventional fight (MRAPs being a glaring example). Can the US Army afford to field a "two-tier" force with some units trainined and equipped to continue to fight the likely counter-insuregncy or asymmetric conflicts that are likely to be so common in the future, while also maintaining a conventional fight capable heavy force? Do we buy MRAPs or MBTs & IFVs? Does it make sense to continue to purchase extremely expensive weapon systems that we can't even be sure are relevant to likely future conflicts - or can we afford not to?
The Army's Force structure is changing shifting lighter infantry BCTs to the NG, while concentrating heavy BCT in the active army. This is going to shift more of the burden of counter insurgency type operations to the NG while leaving the active army as the primary force for heavy conventional fights. In my mind this is backwards. IMO Long drawn out unconventional fights are better dealt with by full-time proffesional forces who have the time to be able to train to meet the specific requirements of the situation. Also it is politically easier to use such forces in potentionally drawn out and unpopular fights. Putting more heavy, conventional capability into the NG puts the NG back into its tradtional role of a National Reserve only to be used in cases of serious national emergencies - which any major conventional ground fight is most likely to be - the kind of fight where there are clear obvious objectives, victories, etc. which make using reserve forces more politically feasible.
Any insights?
Thanks,
Adrian
So my question is what direction should the US Army's force structure (and moderinization) go? History has shown us that forces designed and trainined to primarily fight large scale conventional conflicts are often ill suited to fight asymmetric or counter-insurgency conflicts. At the same time, equipment and training for those sorts of fights are often little use in any potential conventional fight (MRAPs being a glaring example). Can the US Army afford to field a "two-tier" force with some units trainined and equipped to continue to fight the likely counter-insuregncy or asymmetric conflicts that are likely to be so common in the future, while also maintaining a conventional fight capable heavy force? Do we buy MRAPs or MBTs & IFVs? Does it make sense to continue to purchase extremely expensive weapon systems that we can't even be sure are relevant to likely future conflicts - or can we afford not to?
The Army's Force structure is changing shifting lighter infantry BCTs to the NG, while concentrating heavy BCT in the active army. This is going to shift more of the burden of counter insurgency type operations to the NG while leaving the active army as the primary force for heavy conventional fights. In my mind this is backwards. IMO Long drawn out unconventional fights are better dealt with by full-time proffesional forces who have the time to be able to train to meet the specific requirements of the situation. Also it is politically easier to use such forces in potentionally drawn out and unpopular fights. Putting more heavy, conventional capability into the NG puts the NG back into its tradtional role of a National Reserve only to be used in cases of serious national emergencies - which any major conventional ground fight is most likely to be - the kind of fight where there are clear obvious objectives, victories, etc. which make using reserve forces more politically feasible.
Any insights?
Thanks,
Adrian