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North Korea Meeting with the South

Discussion in 'Geostrategic Issues' started by steve621, Jan 11, 2018.

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  1. barney41

    barney41 Member

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    KJU is playing the 'one-upmanship' game IMO. By acting all rational and reasonable, Trump may be pressured to try and outdo him with some impulsive, grand gesture when they meet face to face. All the staff work and strategies leading up to the meeting may not matter with an erratic POTUS. I'm thinking KJU plays him.
     
  2. ngatimozart

    ngatimozart Super Moderator Staff Member Verified Defense Pro

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    Denuclearisation apparently is a term that hasn't yet been fully defined. My feeling is that it's definition depends upon who the writer is.
     
  3. ngatimozart

    ngatimozart Super Moderator Staff Member Verified Defense Pro

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    Of course KJU is. Methinks he has POTUS sussed out pretty good. You can say a lot of things about KJU, but one is clear and that he appears to be very disciplined.
     
  4. John Fedup

    John Fedup Well-Known Member

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    Poor General Kelly wishes he could have a disciplined POTUS. I guess expectations are low based on the probable personal interactions between these two let alone the difficult policy differences.
     
  5. STURM

    STURM Active Member

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    The North Koreans will be watching closely to what Trump does with Iran. The U.S. pulling out of the Iranian deal [the IAEA insists the Iranians are keeping up their end of the bargain] will lead to the North Koreans questioning whether Trump will keep his work with any deal he makes with them. With regards to denuclearisation; does this mean that the North Koreans will not be permitted to retain any nuclear facilities for non military purposes? With the Iranians, under the deal signed in 2015; they're allowed to retain nuclear facilities for non military purposes.



    Another question that remains to be seen is whether Trump will try to get the North Koreans to give up their missiles; irrespective of whether armed with nukes or not. This will be the same situation faced with Iran; the Iranians pointing out that missiles were not part of the nuclear deal and are not ICBMs.

    Irrespective of what happens; the 2 Koreas meeting is good; irrespective of what outside powers might think. All sides; including the U.S, will ultimately have to make certain compromises. To expect North Korea to give up its nukes and to better behave; only to receive an end in sanctions and economic aid is gaga land thinking. They'll also want certain reassurances. China will have to be heavily involved to ensure North Korea does what it promises. The question is who will ensure that others do what they promise?



    [The Iran Crisis Presents A Bigger Danger To Peace Than North Korea]
    tps://www.independent.co.uk/voices/iran-nuclear-deal-north-korea-donald-trump-emmanuel-macron-a8326146.html

    ''The Iran crisis is truly dangerous in a way that was never quite true of the North Korea crisis. In Korea, we are talking of a peace agreement that would replace the Panmunjom Armistice of 1953, but there has been no war going on there for 65 years, though there have been a few sporadic clashes. Compare this with the position of Iran which is a rival for influence with the US in a ferocious war in Syria and one that in Iraq that is currently receding, but could easily blaze up again.''

    ''Short of diplomatic options, the White House might view military action against Iran as an increasingly attractive approach. The Iran and North Korea crises are very different but in both cases Trump is behaving as if the US is turning into a stronger power when, thanks to his leadership, it is becoming a weaker one.''
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2018
  6. barney41

    barney41 Member

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    KJU now threatens to scuttle the summit over US/SK military exercises and Trump is is a bind. NK played nice initially knowing Trump would seize on the opportunity for self-aggrandizement, even fanning talk of a future Nobel Prize.

    NK is betting Trump will be too embarrassed to backtrack and play hardball. So they're giving in a slight tug on the line and if Trump does not respond forcefully KJU knows he's got his fish hooked. lol