I have a question, does the final cost to bring 40 nukes include the cost of losing the aircraft based on interception chances? In a scenario where Germany is dropping 40 nukes all in one go, will the aircraft have bases to return to? I guess with shrinking arsenals today it's likelier then say 40 years ago that a nuclear exchange won't torch civilization completely even on the European continent. But I still have some doubts about this aspect of the calculation. Also the chance of interception, how is that calculated, and against what opponent? Or does it represent a ration of survivability between the MG-9 and the Tornado? I.e. the Tornado is 2.5 times as likely to survive as opposed to a MG-9 in this given scenario and against the same opponent?Let's compare that against a Tornado, shall we?
Tornado IDS (1 aircraft) MQ-9 Reaper (2 UAVs) Notional cost to get four B-61 to 1400 km €28,000 €22,000 Annual training flight cost €6,500,000 €1,000,000 Procurement Cost €60,000,000 €64,000,000 Chance of Interception due to flight profile Moderate (<75%) Abysmally High (>90%) Post-Sortie Reusability Good (>25%) Low (< 10%) Investment cost to bring 40 nukes on target once within one 40-year lifecycle of airframes €1,811,520,000 €23,064,800,000