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North Korea Nuke Capability

This is a discussion on North Korea Nuke Capability within the Missiles & WMDs forum, part of the Global Defense & Military category; How would NK be able to confirm that it has an ICBM nuke warhead that can successfully survive athmospheric reentry? ...


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Old September 5th, 2017   #1
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North Korea Nuke Capability

How would NK be able to confirm that it has an ICBM nuke warhead that can successfully survive athmospheric reentry? Would it actually have to launch a nuke-armed ICBM out into the Pacific to demonstrate a credible capability? Or do they launch a dummy warhead and retrieve it for analysis?

Or will defense experts just proceed on the assumption that they do possess an effective capability?
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Old September 5th, 2017   #2
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Did anybody ever fired a live nuke tipped ICBM at a test target?

When one demonstrates some successfull ICBM tests with dummy warheads and adds sone successfull nuke tests one has to believe in them having the capability.

I doubt anybody would be willing to risk LA (or Beijing for what it's worth) for not taking it seriously.
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Old September 6th, 2017   #3
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Only an actual detonation could provide 100% confirmation. Spies could provide something very close to 100% but sufficient penetration into NK's nuclear and ICBM programs has to be near impossible given the nature of the the NK regime.
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Old September 6th, 2017   #4
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Would he same logic apply to he DF-21D AShBM? AFAIK China has never attempted hitting a maneuvering target at sea.
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Old September 6th, 2017   #5
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I guess so unless they test a DF-21D on an actual large ship at the claimed range. There is, of course, a big difference between a very long range anti ship missile and an ICBM capable of delivering a nuke to a major city any where in the world.
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Old September 26th, 2017   #6
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It appears that NK may actually be considering firing a missile with a nuke warhead into the Pacific. Time to set the Doomsday Clock closer to midnight.
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Old September 26th, 2017   #7
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If they do, China will allow the US a free hand to do anything they want short of Korean reunification, not that there will be of anything to reunify with. Don't think Kim is that stupid but who knows?
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Old September 28th, 2017   #8
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