MiG News

ROCK45

New Member
A interesting little bit I found.

May 29, 2008
Corp. Pres. Says MiG No Prob.
// The head of MiG talks about joining the united corporation and the world market for Russian planes
Belov on MiG and its future
The Russian airplane maker MiG was converted from a federal state unitary enterprise to a joint stock society (OAO) in March, and it is to be made part of the United Aircraft Corp. (UAC), and one of its chief assets, by the end of the year. That process is being guided by MiG’s new general director, Anatoly Belov, who replaced UAC president Alexey Fedorov in that post. In his first interview in his new capacity, Belov tells Kommersant about the state of affairs at MiG, export contracts and reorganization plans.
When will MiG Corp. join UAC? The date has been moved back more than once.

This year, I think. Ernest & Young is expected to complete the assessment of the corporation in June, and then the usual integration process is planned.

How much will the complications with the contract to deliver fighter jets to Algeria influence the assessment? [A contract for 28 MiG-29SMT and 6 MiG-29UB jets was signed in March 2006, but the first 15 were returned by Algeria due to complaints about their condition.] MiG has considerable debts from 2007.

The debts were accrued mainly because of the problems with the Algerian contract. Nonetheless, the planes were produced and, consequently, are among the company’s assets. Therefore, I think the value of the company will not be significantly reduced. And we are in intensive negotiations for the sale of those planes.

The Algerian Air Force paid $250 million up front for those planes. Are they demanded the return of their money?

The discussion of the procedure to reverse the contract is still ahead. That is when questions of mutual settlement will come up.

At UAC, they say the Russian Air Force is considering obtaining the planes Algeria returned.

The Air Force is interested in all 34 MiG-29SMT’s planned for delivery to Algeria. A Defense Ministry commission inspected them and came to a positive conclusion about the quality of their assembly. Air Force pilots have tested the planes’ various modes in the air and responded well to them.

If the Defense Ministry buys them, will the price be lower than in the contract with Algeria?

It is expected that the price will be somewhat lower than the export price.

The Russian Air Force does not take planes with foreign avionics. Will you have to change the planes’ insides?

Yes, in that case, minor changes will have to be made. They will be insubstantial and will not affect the deliver cost or schedule.

Are there export offers on the planes?

Yes, there have been enquiries, some from our traditional partners. We are prepared to consider them subsequent to the delivery of the Russian Air Force.

The Russian side offered Algeria more modern MiG-29M2 or MiG-35’s in exchange. Is that offer still in force?

MiG has made the offer. The decision is the Algerian side’s.

What is MiG’s portfolio of orders now?

About $4 billion plus $2.5 billion in options in the period up to 2010-2011. And the market is not exhausted. We add quite solid sums to that portfolio every year. In the next few years, we will promote four planes – the MiG-29SMT, MiG-29K/KUB, MiG-29M/M2 and MiG-35.

Can MiG’s share of the world market be estimated?

Of the total number of jet fighters produced in the world, about 70 percent of them are light- or medium-weight models. That is the niche MiG works in and it has good prospects there. Of course, the production rates of our competitors are higher than ours, we have already started to regain our position on the market, looking to the potential of the company and state support.

How does the falling exchange rate of the dollar affect MiG exports?

It’s a problem. It affects the economics of the corporation and creates complications not only for MiG, but for our partners as well. The Federal Military-Technical Cooperation Service and Rosoboronexport, naturally, are aware of this and are negotiating with our clients to solve it.

How is the Indian tender for the purchase of 126 fighter jets that MiG is participating in? India has already extended it.

Only the deadline for filing the technical-commercial proposals was extended. By one month. We turned in all materials with Rosoboronexport within the deadline. The next stage is a demonstration of the equipment for the customer.

Considering India’s leisurely pace, do you expect the results of the tender soon?

India may change its plans, if necessary. But so far the process is coming along within the deadlines Delhi set at the very beginning.

Rosoboronexport is conducting negotiations with India on changing the price and deadlines on the contract to deliver the aircraft carrier Admiral Gorshkov. The contract for the delivery of the 16 MiG-29K/KUB planes includes an option to buy an additional lot of MiG’s for the ship. Can the delay with the Gorshkov interfere with those plans?

We discussed that question with the Indian side at a high level, and we were promised that the situation with the aircraft carrier would not affect our contract. In June, we will begin to train Indian pilots. In the next few months, we will hand over the first four planes to the Indian customer. They will be used for technical training for the flight and technical personnel. The other eight will be delivered by June 2009. We are waiting for information on contract deadlines from the Indian side.

A number of technical problems had to be solved during the modernization of the engine for the MiG-29K/KUB. Will that delay deliveries of those planes?

There are no serious difficulties. All of our partners’ schedules are being met. One plane is already completely ready and another is almost done.

Do the Indians plan to build a test range like Nitki in the Crimea to imitate the decks of an aircraft carrier?

They have such plans, and we will help the Indian Navy with it. In the nearest future, plans are to train Indian pilots to fly from regular airfields. In the long term, we will train pilots on an imitation aircraft carrier. Negotiations are underway with Ukraine about that.

There was an announcement in the press with references to the Indian Navy that, if the F-18 wins the tender for the 126 jet fighters, they will be delivered onto two aircraft carriers now being built alongside MiG-29K/KUB’s. How do you see that possibility?

Yes, I saw that the Indian Navy allegedly put forward such an initiative. We doubt that information. It’s not the first disinformation about the tender. As a rule, the Indian side disavows such reports.

MiG Corp. has signed a contract for the modernization of 63 MiG-29 jet fighters delivered to India earlier. What are the parameters of that contract?

The total cost is about $1 billion. The first planes should arrive in Russia in the coming months so that their future technical characteristics can be worked out. Then MiG will transfer the technology for their modernization to India. Our specialists will be sent to India to assist them and MiG will provide the Indian side with all necessary equipment. All the Indian Air Force MiG-29’s will be modernized, six of them in Russia and the rest in India.

It was announced at Le Bourget last year that there are customers for the MiG-29M/M2.

Yes, there are certain customers for the fighter.

And for the MiG-31?

We have made proposals, there are customers ready to buy, but we wouldn’t want to name those customers.

What are MiG Corp.’s perspectives on the Eastern European market?

We offer the countries where there are jets in the region several options for modernization: deep, medium and light. The choice of option depends on the country’s capability and tasks before MiG. A number of projects are already being implemented. For example, 12 MiG-29SD’s were recently handed over to the Slovakian Air Forces modernized to NATO standards and put into service.

Will purchases of MiG’s by the Russian Air Force increase?

There are no major changes planned in the state arms program through 2015, but now a new program is being prepared for 2010-2020. The MiG Corp. has several interesting offers that may be carried out as part of it.

Could the Air Force declare a tender for the development of light and medium fighters of the fifth generation soon?

I assume the one heavy fighter [now being developed by Sukhoi] will not fulfill all the tasks now before the Air Force. A plane of a lighter class is objectively necessary, so we continue to work in that area.

But that tender is only possible after 2015?

Why? The process can begin sooner. It’s a decision for the Russian government, Defense Ministry and the chief commander of the Air Force.

Does the corporation intend to continue the MiG-AT program? The Russian Air Force chose the Yak-130 as a training warplane and there are no orders for it on the international market.

The MiG-AT has participated in several training programs and it is premature to talk about the complete end of the program.

At the Moscow Airshow, MiG Corp. demonstrated the Skat drone. Does it have any chance of being included in the state weapons program?

We are counting on that.

Will OAO Chernyshev Moscow Heavy Industry Enterprise and OAO Klimov, MiG’s engine-building assets, be split off from MiG Corp., as previously planned?

Since MiG is entering the UAC, its management will hold negotiations with Oboronprom on incorporating Chernyshev and Kilmov into the engine-building holding. MiG is counting on receiving management of the stock in the Nizhny Novgorod Sokol, which will permit us to optimize out production programs.

Only the 38-percent state share package in Sokol belongs to UAC. Will MiG Corp. make a proposal to the private shareholder in Sokol to buy their packages?

That is being discussed now.

A year and a half or so ago, the possibility was being considered of ordering a wing for a MiG-29 produced by Sokol from Irkut or even Komsomolsk.

That was temporary, while Sokol recovered. The Nizhny Novgorod plant had a difficult period, but now it meets MiG Corp.’s demands.

How does MiG Corp. intend to reorganize its production capacities? How long will the facilities in Moscow be open?

MiG production is carried out in three facilities, in Moscow, Lukhovitsy and Nizhny Novgorod. We cannot get by without the Moscow facilities today. Plans to gradually cut down production in Moscow are being discussed with UAC now. But that would have to be done very cautiously, since several thousand people work here.

Which will be the main facility?

Both Sokol and Lukhovitsy will both be developed and the workload divided between them, including types of fighters.

The president signed a decree on February 20 on the creation of the National Aviation Center in Zhukovsky. When will MiG be able to transfer its engineering center to Zhukovsky?

We fully support that project, it is going in absolutely the right direction. As for the time, of course, plans have to be consolidated with Ilyushin, Tupolev, Irkut and Sukhoi. Our only desire is that the move not affect our production process, since MiG is one of the few integrated companies, uniting everything from planning to production.

At the end of March, there was talk at UAC about the possibility of a stopgap option – the construction of a new building at the production facility in the Khodinskoe Pole area [of Moscow] where the UAC engineering center and corporation’s headquarters could be located.

Highly technical problems associated with the placement of UAC and its services are being solved. Various options are being discussed, including the one you mention. Since MiG Corp. is still not part of UAC, I have not devoted a lot attention to it yet.

You came to MiG Corp. at a difficult moment connected with the Algerian contract. Why did you leave the prosperous Irkut Corp. for the problematic MiG?

I don’t consider MiG problematic. The situation at MiG reflected what has happened in all of the Russian aviation industry. They are the same problems, to greater or lesser degree. The most important of them had been solved through the efforts of the previous management: production reform had been begun, we participated in the Indian tender with planes from the new product line and the MiG-29K project had been brought to a successful end. I have no doubt that we will restore the authority of the MiG brand.


Interviewed by Alexandra Gritskova and Konstantin Lantratov

link
http://www.kommersant.com/p897204/r_1/aviation_industry/
 
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Chrom

New Member
I'm glad to see that the Mig is healthier than I expected.
Mig right now have more problems with experienced workers / engineers than with money. Rumors they have more orders than they can realistically fulfill. I speak here about new airframes Mig-29M2/Mig-29K/Mig-35, not slightly upgraded old ones from USSR stocks, a-la Mig-29SMT.
 

Salty Dog

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Mig right now have more problems with experienced workers / engineers than with money. Rumors they have more orders than they can realistically fulfill. I speak here about new airframes Mig-29M2/Mig-29K/Mig-35, not slightly upgraded old ones from USSR stocks, a-la Mig-29SMT.
Pretty tough for an aircraft company with a world renown pedigree. They were a foremost fighter aircraft company with notewothy aircraft still widely in use today. That sort of ends with the Mig-29 model/airframe and MiG has yet to produce a noteworthy successor. Perhaps the move to the UAC may brighten Mig's future.
 

ROCK45

New Member
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #5
Mig-29

I was thinking about if Russia/MIG had a finished Mig-29M1 or M2 two-seat attack model complete and ready for production. I made a quick list of maybe buyers please add other maybe buyers, I'm sure I'm leaving out a bunch.

India - Without sounding to harsh Russia couldn't take any longer and India couldn't take any longer either making a selection.
Algeria - Looks like they might have lost a $2 billion dollar customer
Libya - still might happen but must be paying attention to what's going on in Algeria.

The smaller clients who might pick up from 8 to 20 aircraft:
Syria - one never knows
Sudan - if less attention was being paid to the fighting one never knows
Eritrea-?
Peru- Arms purchasing is picking up some in South America, Peru's economy doing a little better
Ethiopia ?
Sri Lanke - I think may have order 5 currently? I remember seeing something on this not to long ago. Still looking?
Burma - Not now I realized that but remember seeing some place they didn't like the Chinese aircraft might have been just been the Q-5.
*Keep thinking I leaving out one or more from Europe
Iran - ?
Yemen -?

My point being not every country wants or needs a large full size fighter and China's J-10 isn't ready export sale yet. Some aren't allowed or don't want F-16s/Gripens and Rafale & EF20000 totally in a different price range. I think MIG missed a market chance from 2001 to 2007. I think there's still currently a market now for the Mig-29 in some form just smaller then it was. A lot would have to do with being able to produce a land version of the Indian K model Fulcrum built on completely new frames. For countries who don't need stealth I think there's a market for 4th+ fighters that don't cost over $110/120 million per.
 

Ozzy Blizzard

New Member
I was thinking about if Russia/MIG had a finished Mig-29M1 or M2 two-seat attack model complete and ready for production. I made a quick list of maybe buyers please add other maybe buyers, I'm sure I'm leaving out a bunch.

India - Without sounding to harsh Russia couldn't take any longer and India couldn't take any longer either making a selection.
Algeria - Looks like they might have lost a $2 billion dollar customer
Libya - still might happen but must be paying attention to what's going on in Algeria.

The smaller clients who might pick up from 8 to 20 aircraft:
Syria - one never knows
Sudan - if less attention was being paid to the fighting one never knows
Eritrea-?
Peru- Arms purchasing is picking up some in South America, Peru's economy doing a little better
Ethiopia ?
Sri Lanke - I think may have order 5 currently? I remember seeing something on this not to long ago. Still looking?
Burma - Not now I realized that but remember seeing some place they didn't like the Chinese aircraft might have been just been the Q-5.
*Keep thinking I leaving out one or more from Europe
Iran - ?
Yemen -?

My point being not every country wants or needs a large full size fighter and China's J-10 isn't ready export sale yet. Some aren't allowed or don't want F-16s/Gripens and Rafale & EF20000 totally in a different price range. I think MIG missed a market chance from 2001 to 2007. I think there's still currently a market now for the Mig-29 in some form just smaller then it was. A lot would have to do with being able to produce a land version of the Indian K model Fulcrum built on completely new frames. For countries who don't need stealth I think there's a market for 4th+ fighters that don't cost over $110/120 million per.
For non western aligned users MiG-29 M/SMT is the only realistic middleweight 4th gen fighter on the market. The only other option is the J10, and as you stated its not availible for export and wont be for a significant ammount of time. If MiG had marketed a fully multirole MiG 29M/M2 for about the $30mil mark the russians would have filled a substantial hole in the market with a capable and affordable product. But now anyone who can afford the extra cash is buying the much more capable SU-30MK2/SU-30MKX for as little as $50mil a copy, and the cheap end of the market is about to be blown away by the JF-17, which should be priced in the sub $20mil price bracket and be inferior but comperable in capability. Of cource why would you pay $30mil+ for MiG 29M when you could pay <$20mil and still have a supersonic, 9G, multirole fighter with R77/SD-10 capability, PGM capability, a fully glassed cockpit with HOTAS, and a decent muti-mode radar. With the money saved you could invest in some support elements suck as KCski or AWACSski. Then with the SU-35 about to hit production, anyone (non western aligned) who can afford it will buy it, considering the capability and price.

Still there is some real promise in the MiG 35, it provides the user with capabilities that significantly exceed any of its non western competitors for a reasonable price. If it wins the Indian MRCA competition, in the 2012+ timescale it should be a formidable competitor to the J-10 in the non western fighter market.
 

nevidimka

New Member
I dont see how anyone can compare the Newest gen Mig29 to the JF17. If the JF17 is 20mil+ n mig29 30mil+, the smart money will be on the mig29, as its airframe is much more advanced n its capabilities are also more advanced and upgrade capable.

Regarding Mig market.. I was abit pissed with NATO expansion.. with Mig markets being flushed out just because of " not NATO standard" or " cant interoperate" reaons being dished out n then Lockheed coming in n selling thier planes n getting a profit out of it.

And Regarding the Mig 35, I think Mikoyan should have done a little bit more on it. LIke reshaping some parts like engine intakes to make it more stealthy frontal aspect, adding RAM etc.. ala F 18 SH. That would have made it more attractive and comparable to F18 SH in the world market. Also a new uprated engine with superior dry thrust performance should have been developed.
 

Ozzy Blizzard

New Member
I dont see how anyone can compare the Newest gen Mig29 to the JF17. If the JF17 is 20mil+ n mig29 30mil+, the smart money will be on the mig29, as its airframe is much more advanced n its capabilities are also more advanced and upgrade capable.
Thats the point, in the small/medium sized, non western aligned market a $10mil difference is a lot. And if you've only got ~$500m to spend on your fighter purchase, JF-17 is going to look mighty attractive considering it does everything MiG 29 does, the only difference is in scale. I'm not saying MiG 29M/SMT is not a better platform, it is. However JF-17 can still deliver all of the weapons MiG-29 can. In terms of value for money JF-17 is much better, and therefore the funds you can use to acquire support elements/improve the wider system are larger, which has a bigger impact on war-fighting capability than an airframe (VLO excluded).

And Regarding the Mig 35, I think Mikoyan should have done a little bit more on it. LIke reshaping some parts like engine intakes to make it more stealthy frontal aspect, adding RAM etc.. ala F 18 SH. That would have made it more attractive and comparable to F18 SH in the world market. Also a new uprated engine with superior dry thrust performance should have been developed.
MiG 35 is the 4th MiG 29M2 prototype IIRC, therefore designing a whole new airframe would have meant a much larger, costlier and riskier program. Sinking the engines to hide the engine faces (reduce RCS) would have been a HUGE redesign, and MiG 35 would have been a totally new platform. The risk in that would be huge considering there's no firm contracts only possibilities, all for limited returns (a little RCS reduction is handy, but considering the huge cost and risk it obviously wasn't worth it). By significantly improving the platforms combat management system, HUI, ISTAR capabilities through the ZHUK-AE AESA radar (as primitive as that system is) and the OLS MIG have transformed the Fulcrum from a point defence fighter with a limited PGM capability to a fully muti-role platform with an excellent mid altitude/stand off strike capability comparable to any western 4.5th gen fighter, without significantly redesigning the airframe. Not too shabby.
 

Chrom

New Member
I was thinking about if Russia/MIG had a finished Mig-29M1 or M2 two-seat attack model complete and ready for production. I made a quick list of maybe buyers please add other maybe buyers, I'm sure I'm leaving out a bunch.
They are more or less ready for production, but quite large order is required to warrant new production line. One cant buy just 10 Mig-29M2 for average price - either 50+ order or cost will be exorbitant high.

Mig-29K for India somewhat dampened that problem as many parts are common for both Mig-29K and Mig-29M2 - but only partially. Mig's main income now is from upgrading/supporting old models - Mig-29/Mig-27/Mig-21 etc.

Besides, for large future orders Mig-35 is better option. It is more or less ready except AESA radar.
 

Salty Dog

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
Thats the point, in the small/medium sized, non western aligned market a $10mil difference is a lot. And if you've only got ~$500m to spend on your fighter purchase, JF-17 is going to look mighty attractive considering it does everything MiG 29 does, the only difference is in scale. I'm not saying MiG 29M/SMT is not a better platform, it is. However JF-17 can still deliver all of the weapons MiG-29 can. In terms of value for money JF-17 is much better, and therefore the funds you can use to acquire support elements/improve the wider system are larger, which has a bigger impact on war-fighting capability than an airframe (VLO excluded).
A very valid point Ozzy on the cost issue. I'm sure there is a fighter market out there with countries that need fighter replacements for a modest budget. Countries still flying their F-5, Mig-21, A-4 , etc. would not need such high tech-high performance (high maintenance cost) fighters. A capable multi-role fighter in the US $15 - $20M category should be profitable.
 

Salty Dog

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
MiG 35 is the 4th MiG 29M2 prototype IIRC, therefore designing a whole new airframe would have meant a much larger, costlier and riskier program. Sinking the engines to hide the engine faces (reduce RCS) would have been a HUGE redesign, and MiG 35 would have been a totally new platform. The risk in that would be huge considering there's no firm contracts only possibilities, all for limited returns (a little RCS reduction is handy, but considering the huge cost and risk it obviously wasn't worth it). By significantly improving the platforms combat management system, HUI, ISTAR capabilities through the ZHUK-AE AESA radar (as primitive as that system is) and the OLS MIG have transformed the Fulcrum from a point defence fighter with a limited PGM capability to a fully muti-role platform with an excellent mid altitude/stand off strike capability comparable to any western 4.5th gen fighter, without significantly redesigning the airframe. Not too shabby.
The right time may have already passed, but I wonder how things would be in the Mig-29 world if Mig had gone the same route as Boeing with the Super Hornet by giving a larger more capable airframe to the Mig-29 whilst sharing many commonalities on the support/servicing side to the legacy Mig-29.
 

Chrom

New Member
A very valid point Ozzy on the cost issue. I'm sure there is a fighter market out there with countries that need fighter replacements for a modest budget. Countries still flying their F-5, Mig-21, A-4 , etc. would not need such high tech-high performance (high maintenance cost) fighters. A capable multi-role fighter in the US $15 - $20M category should be profitable.
For these countries Mig-29SMT could be very attractive option. Cheap, proven, wide weapon selection, future easy transition to Mig-35.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Here's a little something (rather insightful on the poor state of the Mig) about the production for the M2 variant.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080530/108906687.html

It's set to start no earlier then 2010. Seems like the MiG-35 is not anywhere near production, if the MiG-29M2 is only going to enter serial production in 2010.
 

ROCK45

New Member
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #14
2010

Thanks Feanor good to see it might happen but 2010 they might lose the India bid by then even. If they could shave a year off that and list and show the Russian AF squadron going through there pre-training that would sell fighters. In the article it says
the fighter will be sold both at home and abroad,
This is the important part to me if Russian pick up a squadron or two it would go a long way for showing the "staying" power of the fighter.
 

Chrom

New Member
Here's a little something (rather insightful on the poor state of the Mig) about the production for the M2 variant.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080530/108906687.html

It's set to start no earlier then 2010. Seems like the MiG-35 is not anywhere near production, if the MiG-29M2 is only going to enter serial production in 2010.
This can happen even later if there is no large order. All talks about "home" users is just wishful misinformation. Foreign consumer is much more likely - but to launch first aircraft in 2010 they should have hard order right now, as it takes nearly 2 years to take fully ready aircraft to production.

This means 1 thing - Mi-29M2 is fully ready for production. For how many years already ready - is up to speculation. Most likely the design is constantly updated and serial production Mig-29M2 will be quite different aircraft from 10-years ago proposals.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
The demonstrations of MiG-29M2 began in iirc 2001. My whole point was that it's old news, and it's still not being produced. MiG is in some serious trouble. Comes after the failure of the Algerian deal (iirc the Algerians requested more Su-30MKA's instead of the cancelled MiG's with negotiations still in progress right now).
 

nevidimka

New Member
Whats the point of producing the aircraft when there is no orders. I'm sure Mig is trying to save cost that way. They already have the demonstrator out for customers. IF they have orders, I'm sure they'd porduce it quickly.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
The lack of orders is of course another issue. And again why was the original Algerian deal done for the SMT variant if the more advanced M2 was all ready to go? Might there be something after all to the claim that the planes were of inferior quality? Perhaps not the actual quality of the work but overall performance?
 

Chrom

New Member
The lack of orders is of course another issue. And again why was the original Algerian deal done for the SMT variant if the more advanced M2 was all ready to go? Might there be something after all to the claim that the planes were of inferior quality? Perhaps not the actual quality of the work but overall performance?

May be because Mig-29M2 costs 2x times more? May be because production of new airframe require 1-2 years more than just upgrading avionic on old ones?

Or do you think Mig-29M2 would be sold for the very same price as Mig-29SMT?
 

Ozzy Blizzard

New Member
May be because Mig-29M2 costs 2x times more? May be because production of new airframe require 1-2 years more than just upgrading avionic on old ones?

Or do you think Mig-29M2 would be sold for the very same price as Mig-29SMT?
I agree, MiG-29SMT and MiG-29M2 are two totally different beasts. Its akin to a MLU F-16 Block 30 with a LITENING pod thrown in, compared to a F-16 Block 52+, two very different platforms with two very different sets of capabilities with two very different price tags.
 
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