Withdrawing forces from Afghanistan

[Teindva]

Afghanistan possesses Ethnic Afghans(Pathan), Persians(Tajik, Badakhshi,etc), Hazara Mughols and Turkic(Turkoman and Uzbek) factions. If U.S retreats like that of Russia then all these factions will come out to gain supremacy. The largest faction is that of Ethnic Afghans but by the time of the dismantling of Mughal Empire they have proved themselves as unable rulers being cruel, cunning and shortsighted in designs. Non other faction is ready to accept such a popeye regime in their land again putting their children in trouble as they and their forefathers had suffered. Thus,Instead of letting different countries to choose a faction of their choice each and turn the region into a battleground, a mixed Islamic or a South Asian force is needed to be deployed there to monitor upto the formation of a future reasonable government. (Taliban is only an Ethnic Afghan Freedom fighting force, it will never as before be able to manage a country. )

[explorer9]

Flying back arms, ammunition & other goods from Afghanistan is a futile exercise, the best possible scenario for the Americans is to bring back Pakistani Military on fold and ask them to provide safe passage for withdrawl. Then they will leave lot of ammunition for the ***** against the security of their withdrawal through Pakistani ports. Only high value items should be brought back and rest must be left for Afghans and ***** to be used in future .

[STURM]

Originally Posted by Teindva

IIf U.S retreats like that of Russia then all these factions will come out to gain supremacy.

All the factions cannot 'come out to gain supremacy', as some, like the Turkmens and Hazaras, are too small in number. What they will or might do, as in the past, is to align themselves with a larger ethnic group.

Originally Posted by Teindva

The largest faction is that of Ethnic Afghans but by the time of the dismantling of Mughal Empire they have proved themselves as unable rulers being cruel, cunning and shortsighted in designs. Non other faction is ready to accept such a popeye regime in their land again putting their children in trouble as they and their forefathers had suffered.

Despite what has happened in the past, as the largest enthic group, the Pashtuns will continue to play a large part in any Afghan government, this is a fact that all enthic groups understand. To do otherwise would be courting disaster again and ignoring the lessons of history.

Originally Posted by Teindva

a mixed Islamic or a South Asian force is needed to be deployed there to monitor upto the formation of a future reasonable government.

There is neither the political will or the funding for a South Asian force. Besides, a South Asian force will be seen by ordinary Afghans as just another foreign occupying power, irrespective of the fact that this forces is not Western. The time has come for Afghans to be able to solve their own issues, by themselves.

We tend to forget that Najibullah's government lasted for quite a while after the Soviet pullout, and if the Soviet's had not cut their aid to his government, Najibullah might have lasted longer than he did. When the U.S. pulls out, it will not cease providing support and aid to Afghanistan - the government in Kabul is unlikely immediately to collapse after the withdrawal of foreign troops. The danger is what happens in the coming years.