USAalltheway725
Banned Member
Hello all I am new to this forum. I have recently retired from my job at USDoD where I used to work as one out of many analyzing the potential military and geopolitical threat from China in the near future. I got my PhD. in foreign affairs and geopolitics after I served as a logistics staffer in the US Navy for 6 years. So obviously you can see why I am interested in this forum.
Anyway, I wanted your opinions on whether the Chinese military of 2020 would be a match for any forces the US military could put in the region. Consider this to be a non-nuclear hi-tech conventional conflict.
The Chinese air force would probably consist of mostly J-10s, Su-27s, MiG-29s, and Tu-22 Backfires. It would have home court advantage as it would be protected by its S-300s and S-400s near the coast and its air bases would be nearer to area of conflict. Obviously PLAAF training would not match US training in effectiveness, but their equipment and numbers would be comparable.
The Chinese navy would probably consist of many Soviet built and Russian-inspired/copied designs. Also, there would be a heavy emphasis on submarine warfare. Both China's surface ships of missile-guided cruisers and destroyers would have a good combination of ASMs that would challenge the US CBG. Though their ASW capability would be limited, they would have a sizeable submarine fleet of Oscars, Kilos, and indigenous designs.
The Chinese army would probably consist of mostly Type-99s, and would be a leaner meaner force than you see today. Training would be improved, as well as force projection and supply capabilities. Number of APCs would increase as would number of capable officers. (Right now the PLA would qualify as more of a militia than an army because it is no large and uncontrollable.)
Anyway, consider this against any forces the US could put in the region and compare. Your opinions would be much appreciated.
Anyway, I wanted your opinions on whether the Chinese military of 2020 would be a match for any forces the US military could put in the region. Consider this to be a non-nuclear hi-tech conventional conflict.
The Chinese air force would probably consist of mostly J-10s, Su-27s, MiG-29s, and Tu-22 Backfires. It would have home court advantage as it would be protected by its S-300s and S-400s near the coast and its air bases would be nearer to area of conflict. Obviously PLAAF training would not match US training in effectiveness, but their equipment and numbers would be comparable.
The Chinese navy would probably consist of many Soviet built and Russian-inspired/copied designs. Also, there would be a heavy emphasis on submarine warfare. Both China's surface ships of missile-guided cruisers and destroyers would have a good combination of ASMs that would challenge the US CBG. Though their ASW capability would be limited, they would have a sizeable submarine fleet of Oscars, Kilos, and indigenous designs.
The Chinese army would probably consist of mostly Type-99s, and would be a leaner meaner force than you see today. Training would be improved, as well as force projection and supply capabilities. Number of APCs would increase as would number of capable officers. (Right now the PLA would qualify as more of a militia than an army because it is no large and uncontrollable.)
Anyway, consider this against any forces the US could put in the region and compare. Your opinions would be much appreciated.