It looks a lot like the situation between Georgia and South Ossetia in the summer 2008 prior to the war. The ceasefire is being violated more and more frequently. And Russian media says that Azerbaijans tanks have been moving towards the border for two days now. Azerbaijan has also restricted access of journalists to the conflict zone. There have already been casualties from both sides.
I'm not sure how things will proceed, but it's very problematic because Armenia not only houses a Russian military base, but it's also a member of the CSTO, meaning Russia would technically be obliged to interfere. Has anyone gotten better info?
Турецкие СМИ: Ðзербайджан ÑÑ‚Ñгивает к фронту танки
AZE.az - Çà ñóòêè àðìÿíå íàðóøèëè ðåæèì ïðåêðàùåíèÿ îãíÿ 50 ðàç - Ïîñëåäíèå íîâîñòè Àçåðáàéäæàíà, Êàâêàçà, ÑÍÃ, ìèðîâûå íîâîñòè
http://www.aze.az/news_obse_xrupkost_rejima_101842.html
EDIT: In case anyone is confused. Armenia and Azerbaijan had a war in the 90s. Nagorny Karabakh is a region of Azerbaijan populated by Armenians. They pushed for independence in the 90s, and were backed by Armenia and Russia. Essentially Armenia won the war, gaining control of Nagorny Karabakh, and retaining it to this day though it's nominally independent. The conflict has been 'frozen' ever since, with Russian peacekeeping. It looks like it might be thawing.
I'm not sure how things will proceed, but it's very problematic because Armenia not only houses a Russian military base, but it's also a member of the CSTO, meaning Russia would technically be obliged to interfere. Has anyone gotten better info?
Турецкие СМИ: Ðзербайджан ÑÑ‚Ñгивает к фронту танки
AZE.az - Çà ñóòêè àðìÿíå íàðóøèëè ðåæèì ïðåêðàùåíèÿ îãíÿ 50 ðàç - Ïîñëåäíèå íîâîñòè Àçåðáàéäæàíà, Êàâêàçà, ÑÍÃ, ìèðîâûå íîâîñòè
http://www.aze.az/news_obse_xrupkost_rejima_101842.html
EDIT: In case anyone is confused. Armenia and Azerbaijan had a war in the 90s. Nagorny Karabakh is a region of Azerbaijan populated by Armenians. They pushed for independence in the 90s, and were backed by Armenia and Russia. Essentially Armenia won the war, gaining control of Nagorny Karabakh, and retaining it to this day though it's nominally independent. The conflict has been 'frozen' ever since, with Russian peacekeeping. It looks like it might be thawing.